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MiniMax News

MiniMax (MNX)

Sep 11, 11:02 PM

95087381

September 2026 AI model releases

Aug 30, 9:40 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

16945477

OptionProbability

Gemini 3.x (or 4.x) Flash

Gemini 3.x (or 4.x) Flash-Lite

Muse Spark 1.3 (or any Meta model)

Claude Opus 5.x

GPT-6

Grok 4.x (or any Grok/Composer model)

Claude Fable 5.x

DeepSeek V4.x (or any DeepSeek model)

Any Nvidia model

GPT-6 Sol

GPT-6 Luna

Qwen 4 (or any Qwen model)

Kimi K3.x (or any Kimi model)

Any Mistral Model

Minimax M3.x (or any Minimax model)

GLM-5.4 (or any GLM model)

Any Safe Superintelligence (SSI) Model

TML-Large (or any Thinking Machines model)

Any model developed by fal Research

Claude Fable 5.2

Claude Sonnet 5.x

Claude Haiku 5.x

Gemini 3.x (or 4.x) Pro

GPT-6 Terra

GPT-5.7

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

64

61

60

45

33

24

17

16

15

14

12

11

5

1

September 2026 AI model releases

Aug 30, 8:15 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

6414614

OptionProbability

Claude Fable 5.x

GPT-5.7 or GPT-6

Claude Opus/Sonnet/Haiku 5.x

Muse Spark 1.x (or any Meta model)

Gemini 3.x (or 4.x) Flash/Flash-Lite

Kimi K3.x (or any Moonshot AI model)

Minimax M3.x (or any Minimax model)

TML-Large (or any Thinking Machines model)

Gemini 3.x (or 4.x) Pro

Deepseek V4.x Pro/Lite

100

100

100

100

100

64

44

18

11

9

Will tailcalled think that the Infrabayesianism alignment research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?

Oct 20, 1:15 PMOct 20, 9:59 PM

10.26%chance

234344

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2692

574

Which Chinese tech companies announce a formal AI partnership with a Russian entity before 2027?

Oct 29, 2:22 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

52825

OptionProbability

SenseTime

Huawei

Alibaba

ByteDance

Xiaomi

Lenovo

Cambricon

Deepseek

Tencent

Baidu

Zhipu AI

Moonshot AI

MiniMax

iFlyTek

18

17

17

12

10

10

10

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

Which company has the best LLM at the end of 2026? (Artificial analysis leaderboard)

Jan 5, 8:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

241117

OptionProbability

Anthropic

OpenAI

Moonshot AI

Google

Other

DeepSeek

xAI

Meta

Mistral AI

Alibaba

MiniMax

Z.ai

64

10

9

5

3

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

Will Minimax-H3 become unavailable on HuggingFace in any state in the US before 2027?

Aug 5, 5:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.54%chance

7111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

156

17

Which company will have the top model on OpenRouter in December 2026?

Jun 24, 4:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

573

OptionProbability

DeepSeek

Zhipu / Z.ai

Other (any company not listed above)

Xiaomi

Google

Alibaba (Qwen)

MiniMax

Tencent

Moonshot AI

StepFun

Anthropic

OpenAI

16

10

10

9

8

8

8

8

8

8

5

5

Will it be psble to run python code from https://minimaxir.com/2025/01/write-better-code/ within browser by EOY2027?

Jan 13, 9:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

62.83%chance

130

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

77

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