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Prediction markets for Mining

Will an asteroid be mined for minerals before 2040?

Feb 10, 12:05 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

48.01%chance

19615996

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3258

2174

If ASI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it begin mining the moon within a year?

Apr 8, 11:11 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

29.72%chance

454105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1108

906

Will 1000 kg of Moon material have been mined and returned to Earth by the end of 2050?

Apr 6, 1:26 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

70.87%chance

332003

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1222

864

Will a coal mine be bought and closed by climate activists by 2033?

May 9, 7:58 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

59.05%chance

431533

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1289

724

Will we mine an asteroid by 2034?

Jul 31, 6:11 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.38%chance

181210

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1063

699

Will asteroid mining ever be profitable before 2050?

Feb 11, 7:44 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

29.53%chance

211177

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1092

660

Will someone mine bitcoin on mars before 2080

Mar 28, 1:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.12%chance

20940

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1142

578

Will any country start mining in Antarctica by 2050?

Aug 14, 1:35 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

74.24%chance

19739

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1031

969

Will the Panguna Mine resume operations by 2028?

Apr 10, 2:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.6%chance

20453

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1128

889

Will 1 ton of asteroid material have been mined and returned to Earth by the end of 2075?

Apr 5, 6:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

74.98%chance

15413

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1071

951

Will humanity be mining asteroids by 2100?

Nov 11, 3:42 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

77.88%chance

19399

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1220

917

Will any water be mined on the Moon by 2030?

Apr 23, 5:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

27.76%chance

13355

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1043

971

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