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Mixture of Experts News
Prediction markets for Mixture of Experts
Prediction markets for Mixture of Experts
Will AI Research Be Mostly Autonomous By June 1 2027?
Mar 19, 2:05 AM
May 31, 11:59 PM
25.93%
chance
49
5232
Option
Votes
YES
NO
169
59
Will the first AGI be a transformer model?
Jan 1, 4:54 PM
Dec 31, 6:59 PM
67.57%
chance
15
1249
Option
Votes
NO
YES
947
231
Will AI replace jurors in trials?
Oct 12, 6:09 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
15.42%
chance
19
832
Option
Votes
NO
YES
984
972
Will transformer architectures lose their dominant position in deep learning before 2028?
Jan 20, 9:04 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
14.84%
chance
6
155
Option
Votes
YES
NO
240
42
New EmbeddingGemma (or equivalent) based on Gemma 4 in 2026?
Apr 3, 3:50 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
67.48%
chance
5
51
Option
Votes
NO
YES
120
3
Will GigaChat release an open-weights model with ≥100B parameters by the end of 2026?
Oct 29, 1:25 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
45.25%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
YES
NO
110
91
Do you think Mixture of Expert (MoE) transformer models are generally more human interpretable than dense transformers?
Sep 15, 11:22 AM
16
0
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