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Prediction markets for Mode

War in Iran goes into Berserk mode before end of 2027?

Oct 15, 2:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.47%chance

184189

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1625

615

Will Overwatch 2 reintroduce 6v6 as the main competitive mode?

Jun 28, 10:54 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

31.49%chance

144026

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1475

678

Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030?

Jan 10, 12:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34%chance

253062

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1137

542

Tesla offers a car & mode where Tesla has legal liability for any damages that occur while self-driving by end 2026

Oct 24, 7:55 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.32%chance

81502

OptionVotes

YES

NO

976

140

Will flying cars become a widespread mode of individual transportation before 2032?

Feb 7, 6:19 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

6.79%chance

211456

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2313

824

By the end of 2035, will I be able to use a hoverbike as a regular mode of transportation across New York Harbor?

Jul 13, 3:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.37%chance

8304

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1241

806

Will GPT-X have Galton mode?

Jan 11, 12:45 AMDec 31, 5:59 AM

10.97%chance

7217

OptionVotes

YES

NO

318

102

Will Gmail introduce a streaming mode like what's used by discord by EOY 2027?

Apr 22, 8:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.64%chance

4171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

263

38

Will "Anthropic's leading researchers acted as mode..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Sep 3, 9:01 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.02%chance

4125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1075

988

Will GPT-X have Galileo mode?

Jan 9, 4:18 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

20.03%chance

679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

189

75

Will GPT-X have Geiger mode?

Jan 11, 12:32 AMDec 31, 5:59 AM

16.94%chance

470

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

60

Will "You Are Not Immune To Mode Collapse" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

May 4, 1:23 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

18.43%chance

347

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1047

754

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