Models API News

NO

NO

Second model release by 2027-01-01

Model with ≥30B parameters by 2027-01-01

Partnership with AWS, Google Cloud, or Azure by 2028-01-01

Model API price <10% of OpenRouter by 2028-01-01

Three distinct models by 2027-07-01

Chip released ≤90 days after a model release by 2028-01-01

Model with ≥120B parameters by 2027-07-01

At least 2 competitors launch model-specific inference ASICs by 2028-01-01

ASIC inference hardware market ≥$50B annually by 2030-01-01

≥10k tokens/sec on ≥120B model by 2027-07-01

Ten distinct models by 2028-01-01

Model with ≥390B parameters by 2028-01-01

Any Taalas chip available for direct consumer purchase by 2028-01-01

Any consumer hardware running ≥10B model at ≥1000 tok/s by 2028-01-01

Model API price <1% of OpenRouter by 2028-01-01

≥10k tokens/sec on ≥390B model by 2028-01-01

≥5 distinct models priced <10% of OpenRouter by 2028-01-01

YES

Has a microphone

Will have a battery

Requires a network connection

US retail price <= $500 on launch

Has notification LEDs

Can play music from Spotify

Has a camera

Uses a normal OpenAI model (i.e. available through ChatGPT / API to non-device-owners)

On sale to the public (no pre-order, no invite-only) before 1st December 2027

Sells more than 100 thousand units within 12 months of its release

Is donut shaped

Will have a vibration motor for notifications

Requires a ChatGPT Plus or higher subscription

Will come in >= 3 colors on launch

Sells more than a million units within 12 months of its release

Is wearable

Has any screen

US retail price <= $300 on launch

Cancelled before put on general sale

Designed to be worn on head (e.g. glasses, hat)

Sells more than 5 million units within 12 months of its release

On sale to the public (no pre-order, no invite-only) before 1st January 2026

NO

YES

NO

YES

YES

Will SpaceX report at least 8 GW of nameplate AI compute capacity as of December 31, 2027?

Will SpaceX report at least $35 billion in total GAAP revenue for Q1 2027?

Will SpaceX reach $400B annualized recurring revenue (ARR) by the end of 2027?

NO