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Prediction markets for Mogul

Will 5,000+ people live in a new city in the Bay Area financed by Silicon Valley moguls by 2030?

Aug 27, 6:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.05%chance

11911172

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1974

1824

Will Donald Trump pardon Sean ‘Diddy’ Combs before January 1, 2026?

May 31, 12:05 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

5%chance

466363

OptionVotes

YES

NO

436

23

Will Harvey Weinstein be free from prison before the end of 2025? [500m subsidy]

Apr 26, 12:15 AMDec 31, 4:59 PM

5.63%chance

243687

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2964

710

Will Time's 2025 Person of the Year be one person?

Feb 10, 4:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.47%chance

381994

OptionVotes

YES

NO

103

97

When will Rupert Murdoch die?

Jul 20, 12:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4122

OptionProbability

2027

2026

2028

2025

2029

2030

33

31

10

9

9

8

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