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Top stories

Apollo 13 Commander Jim Lovell Dies at 97

Apollo 13 Commander Jim Lovell Dies at 97

Authors

95

5 days ago

Prediction markets for Moon landing

Will a human land on the moon by 2028?

Feb 9, 6:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.38%chance

28843336

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5886

747

Will a human astronaut land on the moon before 2027 ?

Dec 29, 1:07 PMDec 31, 1:00 PM

3.69%chance

10429415

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9270

700

Will CNSA / China land humans on the moon by the end of 2030?

Feb 28, 6:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.35%chance

7321007

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1422

778

Will Starship land on the moon before Blue Origin does?

May 19, 6:02 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM

22.05%chance

518642

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1890

258

When will SpaceX land on the moon?

Jan 9, 3:23 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

248181

OptionProbability

2028

2029

>= 2032

2027

2030

2031

Before 2027

24

24

22

14

8

6

2

Will China land men on the moon before the USA?

Jan 5, 9:00 PMJan 13, 7:59 AM

36.34%chance

507346

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2556

2543

Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?

May 29, 2:06 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

37.25%chance

344965

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1127

705

Will Elon Musk imply before 2026 that NASA didn't land on the moon?

Sep 23, 5:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

5.08%chance

204935

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4322

231

Will SpaceX land on the MOON by Dec 31st 2029?

Jan 11, 3:26 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

61.75%chance

214914

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

685

Will private astronauts land on the moon within 5 years of NASA astronauts or earlier?

Sep 3, 4:53 PMJan 10, 11:59 PM

72.41%chance

463276

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1590

614

The next American mission that lands a human on the surface of the Moon won't involve SLS

Apr 20, 1:05 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

47.4%chance

221507

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1173

747

Will a country other than the United States land a human on the moon before the end of 2031?

Apr 2, 2:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

61.21%chance

29950

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2046

1865

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 9, 2025
Aug 9, 2025
Space
Obituary
Science
Apollo 13 Commander Jim Lovell Dies at 97
Authors
95
5 days ago

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