Moon Man News

What will occur during the reign of King Charles III? 🤴🇬🇧👑

Mar 19, 2:45 AMDec 26, 7:59 AM

747166

OptionProbability

The death of Jimmy Carter

The Paris Olympics closing ceremony

The release of the iPhone 16

Both the 2024 US & UK General Elections

Bitcoin reaches $100k

2025 [resolves on Jan 1st]

Elon Musk has another child

The war in Ukraine comes to an end

GTA 6 release

A Category 5 hurricane hits the US

The launch of GPT-5

The death of Joe Biden

Weak AGI achieved, as defined by the resolution of the Metaculus market on the topic

Peak Oil Demand

The Enhanced Games opening ceremony

Man’s return to the moon

EV sales in the USA overtake ICE

Will Smith attends the Oscars

A "superintelligent oracle" achieved, as defined by the resolution of the Metaculus market on the topic

AGI is achieved as judged by Manifold

Bitcoin falls to $30k

Female US President

Donald Trump goes to jail

Prince William and Kate divorce

100

Will NASA have a manned landing on the moon by 2027?

Jan 27, 4:19 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

6.58%chance

396193

OptionVotes

YES

2111

801

To the moon: will Bitcoin reach 1,000,000 before a man walk of the moon?

Apr 8, 4:03 PMFeb 6, 9:59 PM

9.79%chance

194013

OptionVotes

YES

1848

829

Will a manned mission successfully land on the moon before December 31, 2025?

Sep 2, 7:17 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

1.39%chance

172563

OptionVotes

YES

3377

896

When will a man land on the Moon for the first time since the Apollo missions?

Feb 28, 8:55 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

132520

OptionProbability

Before 2035

Before 2034

Before 2033

Before 2032

Before 2031

Before 2030

Before 2029

Before 2028

Before 2027

Manned mission to a near earth asteroid before landing on the Moon?

Apr 24, 2:18 PMOct 17, 9:59 PM

8.14%chance

332089

OptionVotes

YES

2153

785

Which of the following events will happen first?

Apr 2, 1:21 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

381876

OptionProbability

Half-Life 3 is released

Taiwan is annexed by China

Man walks on the moon again

The year 2030 begins (and none of the other options has happened)

Both Biden and Trump have died

Bitcoin price reaches $200,000

Forbes announced the world's first trillionaire

A nuclear weapon is used on the battlefield (not a test)

A military coup seizes power in a G8 country

Bitcoin price falls to $10,000

Taylor Swift successfully concludes a second pregnancy

Jimmy Carter turns 102 years old

The number of judges on the US Supreme Court becomes higher than the current 9

Bitcoin recognised as legal tender in at least five G8 countries

Football team AS Roma builds a new stadium and plays the first official game in it

will Jimmy Carter live to see man's return to the Moon?

Feb 13, 12:00 PMFeb 21, 10:59 AM

1.07%chance

81682

OptionVotes

YES

1347

Will more manned Artemis missions land on the moon than during Apollo?

Jan 18, 10:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.91%chance

201175

OptionVotes

YES

1594

530

Will the One Piece manga end before a human walks on the moon again?

Dec 29, 12:29 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

43.23%chance

24749

OptionVotes

YES

1077

932

What will be the next country to send a manned flight to the moon

May 9, 12:18 PMDec 31, 1:15 PM

17516

OptionProbability

USA

China

India

Other

Russia

Will 1M humanoid robots be manufactured before a human walks on the Moon again?

Mar 10, 12:26 PMMar 2, 10:59 PM

54.9%chance

12266

OptionVotes

YES

1032

953

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What will occur during the reign of King Charles III? 🤴🇬🇧👑

Will NASA have a manned landing on the moon by 2027?

To the moon: will Bitcoin reach 1,000,000 before a man walk of the moon?

Will a manned mission successfully land on the moon before December 31, 2025?

When will a man land on the Moon for the first time since the Apollo missions?

Manned mission to a near earth asteroid before landing on the Moon?

Which of the following events will happen first?

will Jimmy Carter live to see man's return to the Moon?

Will more manned Artemis missions land on the moon than during Apollo?

Will the One Piece manga end before a human walks on the moon again?

What will be the next country to send a manned flight to the moon

Will 1M humanoid robots be manufactured before a human walks on the Moon again?

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