Most Favorable News

Merch store

Predictle / any forecasting game

Charity lottery

User calibration

Improved liquidity handling

Better Explore page / Feed

Subscription plan

Interest on all positions

Any A/B tested UI change

Perps

interesting comment notifications

Space the "X" and "Add" buttons farther apart on M.C./Set markets (or change the UI for this altogether)

Market Creator can approve/deny/vet user submitted answers to their markets

Early resolve NO for sum-to-1 multi-choice options

UI/UX changes that favor limit orders

Negative risk conversion

Split MC buckets in half after creation & trading

Market comment section search/filter

Poker

Re-implement "Unlinked Multiple Choice" as "A bunch of full binary markets that happen to be displayed on the same page"

Dependent Set/M.C. markets that can sum to 200%, 300%, 400%, and so on

An update to the loans / margin / capitalization system that Evan Actually Likes

Groups / communities

finer resolution betting near 0%/100%

First class N/A resolution

Non third-party sign in

Multiple non-Mod users can simultaneously share Market Creator powers of a market

Parlays

Clans

Voluntary jury duty for resolving contentious markets

Paid DMs

At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

Punt or Kick Return Touchdown

Safety Scored

A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game

Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game

Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name

Any team scores 24+ points before halftime

A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)

A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)

Any team scores 40+ points

Scorigami

Pick Six

35% or higher Kick Return rate

Any 400 yard passer

At least one missed kicking extra point attempt

2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week

A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts

Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)

For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?

4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped

Shutout

Overtime

Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games

AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back

Will a championship belt change teams?*

All Starting Rookie QBs lose

All Starting Rookie QBs win

Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes

Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

Fake Punt

Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game

Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT

Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses

A player gets an Octopus

MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)

Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)*

Fat Guy Touchdown*

A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)

Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)

A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points

A 4th and 11+ is converted*

California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)

At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards

Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out

Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game

3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game

The case settles before a verdict is reached.

The case settles for more than $10 million before a verdict is reached.

Disney sues OpenAI for copyright infringement before the NYT case concludes.

New York Times wins at least $1 in damages via a verdict.

NYT and OpenAI announce a partnership that goes beyond access to training data, such as the one OpenAI made with Politico.

Nintendo sues OpenAI for copyright infringement before the NYT case concludes.

The case appears before the Supreme Court.

The case is fully resolved somehow, including all appeals, by the end of 2026.

OpenAI wins via an outright verdict in their favor.

The case settles for more than $100 million before a verdict is reached.

New York Times wins at least $10 million in damages via a verdict.

New York Times wins at least $100 million in damages via a verdict.

New York Times wins at least $1 billion in damages via a verdict.

The Supreme Court rules in favor of The New York Times and upholds damages and compensation with a net present value of $10 million or more, but does not order GPT-4 deleted.

The Supreme Court orders GPT-4 to be deleted, or OpenAI otherwise agrees to delete GPT-4 on the basis of this case.

New York Times wins a verdict ordering GPT-4 to be deleted.

New York Times wins a verdict ordering GPT-4 to be deleted from the Supreme Court.

The case is fully resolved somehow, including all appeals, by the end of 2025.

RFK Jr. gets cabinet position or position in any public health department

Flag desecration prohibition passed

Any vaccines banned for any group of people

J6er pardoned

Sports team invited to the white house

A member of Congress is censured or expelled

The democrats take control of the house of representatives

Significant Rogue AI Incident

Blue wave in 2026 midterm elections

Democrats win Iowa governorship

Republicans lose the house majority in midterms

James Talarico wins Texas senate election

Rob Sand wins 2026 Iowa governor election

Katie Hobbs win 2026 Arizona governor election

@DudleyDOODOO creates over 80 options for this market

Prohibiting or restricting transgender care for adults

Democrats win the early voting race game and win the midterms

Democracy survives

Generative AI becomes permanent part our daily lives permanently

Mass Deportations

Trump is impeached

A major insider trading scandal linked to the US executive branch

Democrats win back the white house in 2028

Giorgia Meloni wins reelection prime minister

Left-wing CPAC alternative launches

RFK Jr impeached

Suffer a fall in public

Nicolas Maduro prosecuted and imprisoned for life

Chuck Grassley dies

Peter Hotez goes to prison

Convergence Magazine (Organizing Upgrade) shut down and cease to exist

@dudleyDOODO creates over 50 options that are either illogical, incomprehensible or too vague to resolve

Another project 2025 launched by Heritage Foundation for GOP 2029 presidency

All pseudo-legal sovereign citizen international tribunals causes all prediction markets as concept to defunct and cease to exist

Drone strike in Mexico by US

Nuclear weapon detonation

AGI achieved

US punitive expedition in Mexico

Starlink satellites damaged by US adversary

A second pope is elected

Republicans win the white house in 2028

Deep funding cuts to NIH, NSF, FDA, CDC, HHS, EPA fully implemented and becomes law

Democrats win trifecta in 2026 midterms

100k humanoid robots manufactured

All pseudo-legal sovereign citizen international tribunals causes all AI technologies and generative ai to defunct and cease to exist

Reiner Fuellmich released from prison

350 million people or more die, according to expert estimates

Another covid-like pandemic

NIH, CDC, FDA, HHS, NSF abolished permanently

Bell tower added at the US Capitol

Pauline Hanson becomes Australia prime minister

Reiner Fuellmich's Nuremberg 2.0 occurs and becomes reality

Science and public health infrastructures dies

All COVID-19 vaccines pulled off market entirely

Abolish vaccine funding entirely permanently

Zach Lahn wins Iowa 2026 governor election

Alice Weidel becomes German chancellor

Climate change infrastructures abolished permanently

MAGA and Trump challenge 2026 midterm GOP losses

A human walks on the Moon

Joe Exotic is released from prison

Nuremberg 2.0 over pandemics becomes reality and occurs

Patriots for Europe controls European parliament and wins majority

It ends with JD Vance becoming president

Antifa dissolves

Post-WW2 international orders die and abolished

AfD controls chancellorship and AfD becomes chancellor

Mark Carney wins 2029 Canada election

Vaccine research and projects permanently abolished

NASA abolished

US captures Daniel Ortega and all other leftist leaders worldwide

Europe of Sovereign Nations controls European parliament and wins majority

Measles vaccines abolished and pulled off market

Adam Schiff goes to prison

Chris Whitty goes to prison

European countries all under far-right regime control

Steve Bannon runs for 2028 president

Probabilistic forecasting dies, extinct, defunct, and cease to exist

Fauci and other scientist experts go to prison

Actblue shut down and cease to exist

All prediction markets defunct and cease to exist permanently

World war 3 and global war launch

Metaculus shut down and cease to exist

Room temperature superconductor discovered

Elon Musk is arrested for treason

China invades Taiwan

US military intervention on Canadian territory

Apple, Google, Microsoft, OpenAI, Perplexity defunct and cease to exist

Latin American countries all under far-right regime control

Ilhan Omar deported

Soros family goes to prison

Tulsi Gabbard is arrested for treason

Coup attempt in the United States

All in person comic con events get cancelled throughout 2020s

Republicans leads in early and mail in voting in midterms

Roberto Vannacci becomes Italy prime minister

Hillary Clinton goes to prison

All international NGOs defunct and cease to exist

Lula's 2026 Brazil election victory overturned and tilted to Bolsonaro

Any part of Greenland becomes de facto US territory (excludes military bases)

Republicans win control of the house

All type of vaccines abolished and pulled off market

Fauci goes to prison

Manifold market shut down and cease to exist

US withdraws from United Nations

Viktor Orban returns as prime minister

GOP, Trump, and MAGA controls all election infrastructures away from state governments

Russia invades all European countries

Barack Obama goes to prison

Nigel Farage becomes UK prime minister

Abolish global health funding and infrastructures

Abolish global vaccine funding and vaccine infrastructures permanently

Mass imprisonment of scientists, public health officials, pandemic officials and others worldwide

Far-right seizes all American universities nationwide

Global far-right alliances abolishes and defuncts generative AI and all AI technology

Global far-right alliances abolishes and defuncts all prediction markets

Anti-AI movement abolishes and defuncts all AI technologies and infrastructures

The Senate eliminates the filibuster

Largest solar flare since Carrington Event

Democracy dies

All left-wing pro democracy and pro science organizations shut down

World Health Organization dissolved and abolished

Far-right seizes all American institutions

All US citizens arrested, detained, and targeted by ICE

Nuclear war

Reform UK wins UK 2029 election

World becomes global far-right regime

Russia invades all NATO countries

Bill Gates goes to prison

All media under right-wing control

North Korea bombs and invades South Korea

Elon Musk buys the 2026 midterm elections

US captures Lula and removes him from office

Supreme Court packing

22nd amendment repealed or interpreted to only apply to consecutive terms

Donald Trump reelected President

United States and the world becomes totalitarian dictatorship

All federal and state judges impeached

All Democrats imprisoned

Iran, Russia, North Korea, and China bombs US mainland

Rupert Lowe becomes UK prime minister

Human extinction

US buys Greenland and becomes 52nd state

Democrats permanently locked out of power

Democrats lose the house in 2026 midterm election

All scientists, doctors, pandemic experts, and all other public health officials go to prison

Eagles three-peat

2026 midterm election gets stolen by Trump and GOP and tilted in ruling party's favor

Abolish elections permanently

Russia invades all continents and controls the world globally

All Trump opponents go to prison

Canada becomes 51st state

Russia, China, North Korea, and Iran invades US mainland

Republicans win the early voting race game and win the midterms

Republicans surprisingly win the house in 2026 midterms

Abortion permanently banned nationwide and worldwide

End Russo-Ukranian war in 90 days

An incumbent senator loses general election

Trump is incumbent president

An Incumbent governor loses general election

Democrats win both chamber of congress

Democrats win back the house majority

Abdul El Sayed wins Michigan senate seat

Blue wave in 2026 midterms election

Democrats win house general ballot by at least 7 percentage points

Hakeem Jeffries becomes house speaker

US House Speaker elected on first ballot

Chuck Schumer becomes senate majority leader

The eventual 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee is a winner in a 2026 midterm election

Democrats win at least 9 house seats from Washington State

2026 midterms elections gets tilted in GOP ruling party's favor

GOP and MAGA attempts to overturn 2026 midterm election

Another Jan 6-style capitol attack

2026 midterm election not free and fair

Democratic house victory gets stolen and tilted to GOP ruling favor

Zach Lahn wins 2026 Iowa governor election

Republicans have high turnout of voters and win the house

Republicans vote in highest turnout numbers and win the midterms

Republicans win house majority control

Republicans in polls and markets rise back up and retakes the lead

October surprises help Republicans win house majority and midterms

Democrats lose the house

Red wave in 2026 midterm elections

35% or higher Kick Return rate

At least one missed kicking extra point attempt

Any team scores 24+ points before halftime

Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out

Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT

Any team scores 40+ points

At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

Pick Six

Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game

Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes

Safety Scored

California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)

A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts

Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game

Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)

Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses

A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)

MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)

Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)

Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games

2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week

Will a championship belt change teams?*

A 4th and 11+ is converted*

At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards

Overtime

4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped

Punt or Kick Return Touchdown

Fake Punt

For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name

For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?

AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back

A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points

All Starting Rookie QBs lose

The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number

A player gets an Octopus

A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)

Fat Guy Touchdown*

Any 400 yard passer

Shutout

A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)

3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game

Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

Scorigami

A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game

Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game

All Starting Rookie QBs win

35% or higher Kick Return rate

At least one missed kicking extra point attempt

Any team scores 24+ points before halftime

Pick Six

Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game

Any team scores 40+ points

Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game

At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes

Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT

Punt or Kick Return Touchdown

A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts

3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game

Safety Scored

AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back

Fake Punt

Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game

MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)

Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)

Any 400 yard passer

Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games

2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week

Will a championship belt change teams?*

A 4th and 11+ is converted*

California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)

At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards

Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)

For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?

Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out

4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped

Overtime

Lateral caught at least 1 yard beyond the line of scrimmage (per gamebook) (non-last play of the game)

All Starting Rookie QBs lose

For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name

Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses

A player gets an Octopus

A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points

The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number

Fat Guy Touchdown*

Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)

A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)

Scorigami

All Starting Rookie QBs win

Shutout

A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game

35% or higher Kick Return rate

At least one missed kicking extra point attempt

Any team scores 24+ points before halftime

Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out

Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT

Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game

At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game

Any team scores 40+ points

Pick Six

Overtime

Safety Scored

California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)

At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards

Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes

AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back

Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game

For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name

Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses

A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)

Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)

Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games

2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week

Will a championship belt change teams?*

A 4th and 11+ is converted*

Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)

For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?

4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped

Punt or Kick Return Touchdown

A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points

A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts

The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number

Fake Punt

A player gets an Octopus

MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)

Fat Guy Touchdown*

All Starting Rookie QBs lose

3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game

A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)

A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)

Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

Shutout

Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

Any 400 yard passer

Scorigami

All Starting Rookie QBs win

Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game

35% or higher Kick Return rate

At least one missed kicking extra point attempt

Any team scores 24+ points before halftime

Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out

Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT

Any team scores 40+ points

Pick Six

At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game

Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes

A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts

Safety Scored

Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game

California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)

Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)

Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses

MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)

Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)

Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games

2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week

Will a championship belt change teams?*

A 4th and 11+ is converted*

At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards

Overtime

4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped

Punt or Kick Return Touchdown

Fake Punt

For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name

For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?

AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back

A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points

All Starting Rookie QBs lose

The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number

A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)

A player gets an Octopus

Fat Guy Touchdown*

Any 400 yard passer

3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game

A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)

Shutout

Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)

Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

Scorigami

Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game

Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game

All Starting Rookie QBs win

35% or higher Kick Return rate

At least one missed kicking extra point attempt

Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out

At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

Any team scores 24+ points before halftime

Pick Six

Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game

Any team scores 40+ points

Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT

Punt or Kick Return Touchdown

Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes

Fake Punt

Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game

3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game

Safety Scored

AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back

Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game

Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses

MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)

Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)

Any 400 yard passer

Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games

2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week

Will a championship belt change teams?*

A 4th and 11+ is converted*

California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)

At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards

Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)

For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?

All Starting Rookie QBs lose

4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped

Overtime

For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name

A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)

A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)

A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points

The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number

A player gets an Octopus

Fat Guy Touchdown*

Lateral caught at least 1 yard beyond the line of scrimmage (per gamebook) (non-last play of the game)

A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts

Shutout

All Starting Rookie QBs win

Scorigami

Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game

Settlement

Judgement in favor of the Justice Department

Dismissal / dropped

Judgement in favor of TicketMaster/Live Nation

Texas will vote Democrat.

Other

California will vote Republican.