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Prediction markets for Move

Will it become illegal to move >$50K/year out of the United States?

Apr 28, 7:34 PMJan 1, 8:33 PM

2.09%chance

2668577

OptionVotes

YES

NO

68438

1463

Next stock to move >10% on an OpenAI partnership?

Oct 6, 9:44 PMJun 29, 10:36 PM

247571

OptionProbability

Other

GOOG

CoreWeave

AMD

TSMC

Peloton Interactive

Vimeo

Intel

Oklo

Broadcom

GE Vernova

Micron

Adobe

IBM

Eli Lilly

Oracle

Apple

SMCI

Dell

Microsoft

42

10

8

5

5

4

4

3

3

3

3

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

Will we have AI that can explain chess moves logic in human language by 2030?

Feb 11, 6:49 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

95.65%chance

416172

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2432

839

Will there be a humanoid robot that can move with human-like precision and flexibility before April of 2028?

Mar 14, 6:18 PMApr 1, 7:00 AM

41.05%chance

475000

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1039

876

Will the 2028 Summer Olympics be cancelled or moved out of LA?

Jun 9, 9:59 PMJul 20, 12:00 AM

6.49%chance

134863

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3795

264

US passes bill to move President's Day to day after Super Bowl During Trump's Second Term

Feb 14, 9:15 PMJan 21, 1:00 AM

9.98%chance

103546

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3007

336

Will the UK Government move to restrict access to VPNs this Parliament?

Aug 20, 5:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.25%chance

163003

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1925

519

Will Trump threaten to move the 2028 Olympics out of LA?

Jun 9, 6:18 PMJul 14, 10:59 PM

43.85%chance

181590

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1132

884

Will we discover any large object moving faster than 0.1c (inflation-adjusted) in free space before 2040?

Nov 3, 7:18 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

21.73%chance

61576

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1898

527

Will an optimal first move for white in chess be known by 2040?

Feb 6, 7:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.18%chance

24785

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1114

947

Will the UK move to what I consider to be ~a german/dutch healthcare system by 2035?

Dec 30, 12:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.35%chance

14710

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1035

972

Before 2028, will popular mobile phones begin incorporating folding screens or other large moving parts?

Feb 9, 11:44 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

38.52%chance

12609

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1248

793

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