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Prediction markets for Mozilla

Which company or organization will end up owning Chrome?

Nov 25, 6:37 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

311935

OptionProbability

Alphabet/Google (if they undo order to sell Chrome)

Other

Dedicated Nonprofit formed to manage

World Wide Web Consortium

New Co (Ran by ex-Google exec)

Microsoft

Oracle

Meta (fka Facebook)

OpenAI

IBM

Apple

Facebook

Amazon

Mozilla

Opera

Salesforce

Steam/Valve

Epic

-ignore-

75

9

7

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

When will Chromium OR Firefox drop X11 support?

Oct 24, 5:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21630

OptionProbability

Before 2040

Before 2036

Before 2032

Before 2029

Before 2027

84

69

50

25

2

In which 2026 month will Firefox hit Peak Cyber?

May 8, 2:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16422

OptionProbability

April 2026

October 2026

November 2026

December 2026

May 2026

June 2026

July 2026

August 2026

September 2026

65

7

7

6

5

3

3

2

2

My SnitchBuddy Firefox extension reaches 20 premium users by end of 2026? 🐀

Nov 29, 2:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.53%chance

5347

OptionVotes

YES

NO

291

34

Will Mozilla still maintain Firefox in 2030?

Nov 19, 3:48 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

69.09%chance

11146

OptionVotes

NO

YES

201

179

Will eMudhra be in businesss EOY 2027?

Oct 24, 1:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.65%chance

7121

OptionVotes

NO

YES

176

57

Will there be yet another SSL CA incident similar to eMudhra by EOY 2027?

Oct 21, 6:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.69%chance

392

OptionVotes

YES

NO

190

53

By 2030, will there be credible claims that Mullvad VPN logs user activity?

Mar 26, 7:09 AMDec 1, 8:00 AM

21.76%chance

688

OptionVotes

YES

NO

224

116

When this sc/how-long-will-it-take-to-create-an resolves, who will create the app? [ADD ANSWERS]

Mar 22, 10:49 AMMar 29, 10:59 PM

574

OptionProbability

Other

Mozilla

Meta

Google/Alphabet

Microsoft

OpenAI

29

16

15

13

13

13

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