Multi News

Multi year: Will an AI be able to generate a full high quality movie to a prompt?

Oct 10, 5:26 AMOct 17, 6:29 PM

7629898

OptionProbability

Second half 2028

First half 2028

Second half 2027

First half 2027

Second half 2026

First half 2026

Second half 2025

First half 2023

Second half 2023

First half 2024

Second half 2024

First half 2025

Starship to Mars Multi-choice Matrix

Sep 9, 8:01 AMMar 30, 3:59 PM

248716

OptionProbability

No Starship launch in 2026, no Starship launch in 2028

No Starship launch in 2026, uncrewed Starship launch in 2028

Uncrewed Starship launch in 2026, uncrewed Starship launch in 2028

No Starship launch in 2026, crewed Starship launch in 2028

Uncrewed Starship launch in 2026, no Starship launch in 2028

Uncrewed Starship launch in 2026, crewed Starship launch in 2028

Crewed Starship launch in 2026

Jason Ween Love Stocks: Multi-Stonk Drifting

Apr 10, 9:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

806436

OptionProbability

Sa Stock

Selena Stock

Alyssa Stock

Other

Will the human civilization collapse before we become multi planetary species?

Jan 16, 6:53 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

24.78%chance

402405

OptionVotes

YES

1079

929

Will a multi-agent system have its time horizon evaluated by METR before EOY 2026?

Aug 1, 12:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.28%chance

21260

OptionVotes

YES

2260

816

Will my multi agent orchestration tool SWARM gain more than 100 stars on github by EOY?

Sep 27, 2:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.74%chance

4957

OptionVotes

YES

1792

558

Will humans create a SOTA AI model without Multi-Layer Perceptrons by 2029?

May 4, 6:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

28.43%chance

11712

OptionVotes

YES

1414

776

By 2027, will Silicon Photonics based multi-chip packages be the main way that most data centres handle data and network traffic?

Feb 25, 9:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.15%chance

25616

OptionVotes

YES

1086

960

Will the FDA publicly accept a multi-condition geroscience endpoint as sufficient to establish efficacy before 2036?

Jul 14, 11:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.59%chance

7575

OptionVotes

YES

6240

5801

I can watch MLB games in multi-camera

Jul 8, 7:19 PMJan 7, 7:59 AM

14.6%chance

4262

OptionVotes

YES

207

Will the FDA publicly accept a multi-condition geroscience endpoint as sufficient to establish efficacy before 2041?

Jul 14, 11:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.17%chance

2255

OptionVotes

YES

1255

797

Will the FDA publicly accept a multi-condition geroscience endpoint as sufficient to establish efficacy before 2031?

Jul 14, 11:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.44%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

1050

952

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Prediction markets for Multi

Prediction markets for Multi

Prediction markets for Multi

Multi year: Will an AI be able to generate a full high quality movie to a prompt?

Starship to Mars Multi-choice Matrix

Jason Ween Love Stocks: Multi-Stonk Drifting

Will the human civilization collapse before we become multi planetary species?

Will a multi-agent system have its time horizon evaluated by METR before EOY 2026?

Will my multi agent orchestration tool SWARM gain more than 100 stars on github by EOY?

Will humans create a SOTA AI model without Multi-Layer Perceptrons by 2029?

By 2027, will Silicon Photonics based multi-chip packages be the main way that most data centres handle data and network traffic?

Will the FDA publicly accept a multi-condition geroscience endpoint as sufficient to establish efficacy before 2036?

I can watch MLB games in multi-camera

Will the FDA publicly accept a multi-condition geroscience endpoint as sufficient to establish efficacy before 2041?

Will the FDA publicly accept a multi-condition geroscience endpoint as sufficient to establish efficacy before 2031?

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