Multiplier News

Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion during his lifetime?

Sep 20, 7:29 PMJun 29, 3:59 AM

85%chance

10366052

OptionVotes

YES

2903

485

Greatest Mathematician of all time

Aug 11, 11:37 PMJan 1, 1:00 AM

18831312

OptionProbability

Gauss

Archimedes

Euler

@121

Other

Von Neumann

Alexander Grothendieck

Newton

Kurt Gödel

David Hilbert

Augustin-Louis Cauchy

Pythagoras

Euclid (of Geometry)

Galois (died at 20 fighting for a girl he loved)

Erdos (on amphetamines)

Alonzo Chuch (lambda calculus)

Matt Damon (of Good Will Hunting)

Ramanujan

Poincare

Finkelstein (of the levi finkelstein conjecture)

Mandelbrot (The B in Benoit B Mandelbrot is Benoit B Mandelbrot)

Trick question; there are no mathematicians.

Idk, your mom seemed pretty good at multiplying last night

sixtynine, you filthy casuals

David A. Cox (Cox-Zucker machine)

The solver of the Riemann Hypothesis

Ludwig Wittgenstein

John Conway (group theory, among others)

the unknown ancient egyptian who invented zero

Descartes

Leibniz

Bourbaki

Laplace

@Mira

Georg Cantor

Frank Ramsey

Fermat

Emmy Noether

Ada Lovelace

Terry Tao

DottedCalculator

GPT8

Riemann

Claude Shannon

God

Alan Turing

Grigori Perelman

Olga Ladyzhenskaya

Weyl, Weyl

John Gabriel

Michael Atiyah

Will net demand for graphic designers fall by 50% or more by 2025?

Aug 10, 1:31 AMSep 1, 3:59 AM

3.66%chance

12828289

OptionVotes

YES

9508

1582

Mana Shop - What digital goods will it contain in 2026?

Jan 15, 7:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2413501

OptionProbability

“Manifold pro” or similar status w perks

Profile hats

Profile pic borders

Profile Hovercard borders

Leverage (loan) rate increases

Bonus streak forgiveness / freezes

Cosmetic badges

Stonks arrow (over pfp)

Cat ears

Some kind of Whale design on pfp, or on hovercard, gated behind 1m all-time volume

Wizard hat

Coolfold's Jester hat

Top hat

Consumable market decorations

Additional site themes

trader bonus multiplier

Monocle

Fire-themed hovercard (requires Streak >100days to buy)

Halo

Devil horns

Profile page layout customization

A unique hat that can only be owned by one person but can be stolen

Spoiler mode (hide current probabilities)

Crystal ball icon on pfp

Bull/Bear horns/ears

MtG mana color symbols

Create a clan / community / group

Custom league cohort packs for inviting friends to compete

Extra predictle sets

Access to detailed Predictle stats (eg of past games, or of other players' performance)

Consumable item that lets you highlight a comment

Boost discounts (limited purchase, e.g. 2/ mo)

Discord perks

Mod queue priority status

100

Will any notable scientist or public intellectual posthumously publish as an AI simulacrum before EoY 2027?

Jun 12, 3:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.64%chance

226982

OptionVotes

YES

3477

288

How biased is this coin?

Aug 25, 8:54 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

43.6%chance

423183

OptionVotes

YES

1311

903

Will Michael Saylor be worth more than $1 Trillion during his lifetime?

Mar 4, 7:47 PMFeb 5, 4:59 AM

14.57%chance

192693

OptionVotes

YES

1466

863

What will be the final net IRR for Warburg Pincus Global Growth 14? (X100)

Dec 2, 8:28 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

72.71%chance

112191

OptionProbability

YES

1183

892

Can two n x n matrices be multiplied in O(n^2.15) time?

Nov 25, 5:00 AMNov 13, 11:59 PM

64.52%chance

421509

OptionVotes

YES

1058

947

Will any LLM be able to multiply together arbitrary decimal numbers by the end of 2027?

Oct 19, 6:40 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

70.25%chance

12475

OptionVotes

YES

1023

909

Will Harvard Admit a Class that is Less than 10% Hispanic by 2028?

Jun 29, 7:23 PMOct 1, 10:59 PM

64.09%chance

15466

OptionVotes

YES

1060

947

How many multiplications are required to multiply 5x5 matrices over Z2?

Feb 9, 6:03 PMFeb 17, 5:59 AM

6137

OptionProbability

<=94

<=64

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Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion during his lifetime?

Greatest Mathematician of all time

Will net demand for graphic designers fall by 50% or more by 2025?

Mana Shop - What digital goods will it contain in 2026?

Will any notable scientist or public intellectual posthumously publish as an AI simulacrum before EoY 2027?

How biased is this coin?

Will Michael Saylor be worth more than $1 Trillion during his lifetime?

What will be the final net IRR for Warburg Pincus Global Growth 14? (X100)

Can two n x n matrices be multiplied in O(n^2.15) time?

Will any LLM be able to multiply together arbitrary decimal numbers by the end of 2027?

Will Harvard Admit a Class that is Less than 10% Hispanic by 2028?

How many multiplications are required to multiply 5x5 matrices over Z2?

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