My Life Had Changed News

Will climate change decimate humans before 2050?

Oct 31, 6:40 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.59%chance

15495576

OptionVotes

YES

6005

3911

Will I live to be 150 years old?

Apr 20, 10:07 AMJun 15, 1:03 AM

21.73%chance

6137278

OptionVotes

YES

1032

776

Will AI be life-changing for muggles by the end of 2029?

Oct 10, 8:46 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

77.58%chance

11228585

OptionVotes

YES

1862

538

When will I do my first clean pull-up?

Jan 4, 12:18 AMJan 31, 10:59 PM

97733

OptionProbability

Apr 2026

May 2026

Dec 2026 or later/never

Jun 2026

Mar 2026

Jul 2026

Aug 2026

Sep 2026

Nov 2026

Jan 2026

Feb 2026

Oct 2026

What significant changes in modern life will occur by the year 2030? [add answers]

Jan 26, 7:19 AMDec 31, 5:00 PM

386900

OptionProbability

People spending large amounts of time in VR hardware (100+ million hours per week in the US)

Fully driverless cars are >=1% of miles driven in the US

Major armed conflict between world powers breaks out (World War 3)

Encountering a humanoid robot in public and not being surprised

Any government in the world (local, regional, national) is run by an AI system

Revolutionary breakthrough in fusion energy

Global digital currency replaces traditional banking systems

Space tourism/travel becomes commercially viable for middle class

Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.51%chance

195543

OptionVotes

YES

10062

2804

When we first meet (intelligent, advanced) aliens, will they value increasing happiness and reducing suffering of all sentient life forms?

Sep 20, 2:31 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

40%chance

444082

OptionVotes

YES

1057

822

In the event of a full singularity/intellegence explosion occuring which of these things will be true after the event.

Feb 14, 8:28 PMJan 1, 6:59 PM

142769

OptionProbability

Most human beings that exist at the time of the singularity will be killed.

Biological human beings will no longer exist.

Life will be rated by me as overall significantly worse then before the singularity (if I am no longer alive then mods may resolve how they believe I would have the same for all such questions).

Humans beings will no longer age.

There will be significant populations living in simulated worlds unaware of the nature of the simulated worlds.

Simulations of fictional worlds from before the singularity will be run.

Capitalism will still exist.

Biological human beings will make up a small minority of the sapient population.

Religion will still exist.

Nothing, or almost nothing, of human value will survive.

The beings in control after the singularity will pass judgement of or punish people for actions taken before the singularity.

Life will be rated by me as overall significantly better then before the singularity.

We will run large numbers of ancestor simulations.

There will be primitivist populations who avoid significant change and deliberately live a none technological life.

Most human beings that exist at the time of the singularity will be uploaded.

Cyronicly frozen individuals will be revived.

Most human beings that exist at the time of the singularity will go on living as biological human beings.

Preexisting nations will survive.

War will still occur

Life will be rated by me as about the same quality as befote the singularity.

Superhuman math life-changing for muggles?

Sep 18, 9:23 PMDec 31, 10:14 PM

76.2%chance

6881

OptionVotes

YES

1789

559

If atomoxetine is added to the Troof's nootropics survey before 2030, what would it's "Probability of life-changing effect" be?

Jan 26, 11:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.94%chance

2101

OptionVotes

YES

201

Will generative AI be life-changing at it's current level?

Nov 10, 8:39 PM

180

Recommend me the best self development books that changed your life

Nov 3, 10:38 AM

My Life Had Changed News

Prediction markets for My Life Had Changed

Prediction markets for My Life Had Changed

Prediction markets for My Life Had Changed

Will climate change decimate humans before 2050?

Will I live to be 150 years old?

Will AI be life-changing for muggles by the end of 2029?

When will I do my first clean pull-up?

What significant changes in modern life will occur by the year 2030? [add answers]

Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?

When we first meet (intelligent, advanced) aliens, will they value increasing happiness and reducing suffering of all sentient life forms?

In the event of a full singularity/intellegence explosion occuring which of these things will be true after the event.

Superhuman math life-changing for muggles?

If atomoxetine is added to the Troof's nootropics survey before 2030, what would it's "Probability of life-changing effect" be?

Will generative AI be life-changing at it's current level?

Recommend me the best self development books that changed your life

Latest stories