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Prediction markets for N3

Will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically before 2040?

Feb 18, 8:40 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

20%chance

1257117

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1772

1496

Will the US government undergo significant, large scale decline by 2050?

Jun 24, 8:44 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

84.51%chance

15836

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1123

942

What process node will AMD use for the Zen 6 desktop CPU cores?

Jun 24, 7:21 AMDec 31, 11:00 PM

3624

OptionProbability

TSMC 2nm (Other)

TSMC N2

TSMC N2P

Other

TSMC N3

TSMC N3E

TSMC N3P

TSMC N3X

TSMC N2X

TSMC N4

TSMC N4X

34

29

13

5

3

3

3

3

3

2

2

Will the nutritional mix for baby formula turn out to be relatively harmful compared to foods that could have have been assembled at home with ingredients that can be commonly found in an American ?

May 20, 1:20 PMMay 28, 3:59 AM

12.51%chance

15567

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1431

828

A startup in a programming language derived from homotopy type theory raises $10M by 2030

May 16, 6:57 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

24.58%chance

17528

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1282

880

will i pass a mock JLPT N3 test by May 2026

Jan 28, 11:03 PMMay 1, 11:59 PM

18.48%chance

2110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

210

48

Test for instincts

Dec 17, 5:53 AMFeb 22, 9:59 PM

50

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