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Prediction markets for N3

Will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically before 2040?

Feb 18, 8:40 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

22.55%chance

1256917

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1575

1549

Will the US government undergo significant, large scale decline by 2050?

Jun 24, 8:44 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

84.51%chance

15836

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1123

942

A startup in a programming language derived from homotopy type theory raises $10M by 2030

May 16, 6:57 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

24.58%chance

17528

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1282

880

Will the nutritional mix for baby formula turn out to be relatively harmful compared to foods that could have have been assembled at home with ingredients that can be commonly found in an American ?

May 20, 1:20 PMMay 28, 3:59 AM

15.37%chance

14317

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1181

868

Will I Pass the JLPT N1 by December 2025?

Oct 22, 11:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

65.03%chance

6240

OptionVotes

NO

YES

136

73

What process node will AMD use for the Zen 6 desktop CPU cores?

Jun 24, 7:21 AMDec 31, 11:00 PM

2154

OptionProbability

TSMC N2X

TSMC N2P

TSMC N3E

TSMC N2

TSMC N3

TSMC N3P

TSMC N3X

TSMC N4

TSMC N4X

Other

23

22

13

10

6

6

6

5

5

5

Will I reach JLPT N3 proficiency in Japanese by the end of 2025?

Jul 17, 11:22 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

51.14%chance

4121

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1023

977

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