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National Strategy News
Prediction markets for National Strategy
Prediction markets for National Strategy
Prospera wins fight against Honduras
Sep 12, 2:17 PM
May 1, 8:59 PM
44.86%
chance
37
2816
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1141
846
Will Argentina's poverty level drop below 15% by 2030?
Dec 25, 11:21 AM
Jun 1, 9:59 PM
37.96%
chance
42
1851
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1325
720
Trump's first cabinet member fired, failed, or resigned Marco Rubio?
Apr 12, 6:54 PM
Jan 19, 11:59 PM
2.88%
chance
9
1481
Option
Votes
YES
NO
580
17
Israel deploys nuclear weapons in 2025?
Jun 13, 8:03 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
2.66%
chance
10
964
Option
Votes
YES
NO
605
17
Leopold Aschenbrenner makes no public statements of consequence for a 2-year period before 2035
Jun 10, 1:57 PM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
39.1%
chance
10
950
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1248
801
When will LLMs be better at Paradox grand strategy games than the in-game AI for NPCs?
Mar 23, 3:23 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
4
605
Will the Brazilian Federal Government have a majority stake in Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais (CEMIG) before 2027?
Feb 6, 2:17 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 AM
40.8%
chance
6
450
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1205
830
Will New Zealand's National-led Coalition Government Be Limited to a Single Term?
Feb 25, 3:54 AM
Nov 30, 10:59 AM
54.07%
chance
6
227
Option
Votes
YES
NO
200
199
Will China nationalize at least 10000 non-Han from a single country through 2035
Aug 20, 8:40 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
28.95%
chance
6
163
Option
Votes
YES
NO
226
103
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