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Top stories

Trump Threatens to Block Commanders’ Stadium Unless Team Restores Redskins Name

US Domestic Policy

Trump Threatens to Block Commanders’ Stadium Unless Team Restores Redskins Name

Authors

38

13 days ago

Prediction markets for Native American

Will Elon Musk have a child of given ethnicity?

Apr 17, 2:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

455519

OptionProbability

Jewish

Latino

Arab

Black

Native American

Maori

100

53

33

13

10

5

Will the Kansas City Chiefs change their name before 2030?

Nov 28, 5:34 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

15.61%chance

422896

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2062

640

From today to after the presidential inauguration in 2041, will the US have at least one president who is ___?

Feb 14, 4:34 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

432545

OptionProbability

Female

Asian

Openly LGBTQ

Openly non-Christian

Latino

Openly neurodivergent

Middle Eastern

Native American

78

58

41

34

21

18

11

10

Will the American Bullfrog (Aquarana catesbeianus) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 28, 11:28 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

2.18%chance

41155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1654

352

Will the American Alligator (Alligator mississippiensis) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 28, 4:18 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

3.17%chance

3756

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1255

373

Will Trump restore Columbus Day?

Apr 29, 1:55 AMOct 14, 1:32 AM

45.84%chance

16527

OptionVotes

YES

NO

109

92

Will any "DEI hire" pilot on a US airline make a mistake that results in at least one other person's death before 2028?

Jan 15, 7:58 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

42.99%chance

12353

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

121

Will the American Badger (Taxidea taxus) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 27, 7:48 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

11.3%chance

6341

OptionVotes

YES

NO

786

411

Legal requirements around avatar race presentation in the US or EU before 2046

Jun 7, 9:16 PMJul 20, 3:59 AM

37.08%chance

14337

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1089

941

NYTimes changes default pronoun assumptions in English to "They" from "He/She"

Mar 14, 4:52 PMJun 2, 6:59 AM

68.6%chance

13280

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1079

952

Will an American player win NBA MVP before the start of the 2030-2031 NBA regular reason?

May 11, 9:28 AMOct 31, 11:59 PM

61.17%chance

7166

OptionVotes

NO

YES

126

80

How many years until Indian Americans outnumber American Indians?

Nov 19, 12:06 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

40.84%chance

231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

99

82

Latest stories

Latest stories

Jul 20, 2025
Jul 20, 2025
US Domestic Policy
NFL
Washington DC
Trump Threatens to Block Commanders’ Stadium Unless Team Restores Redskins Name
Authors
38
13 days ago

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