Nature Climate Change News

UN Report Says Extreme Heat Threatens 2.4 Billion Workers and Global Output

5 days ago

Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?

Sep 1, 3:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

39.77%chance

20554318512

OptionVotes

YES

15026

6537

Will Trump exact punishment on South Park?

Jul 28, 3:54 PMDec 31, 4:46 PM

25.36%chance

504575

OptionVotes

YES

1716

583

Will a terrestrial natural disaster not caused by anthropogenic climate change wipe out humanity by 2100?

Jun 26, 5:33 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

3%chance

101356

OptionVotes

YES

766

127

Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?

Sep 25, 2:21 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

23.74%chance

241179

OptionVotes

YES

1280

886

Did HIV come from a laboratory?

Jan 5, 8:45 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

5.14%chance

131043

OptionVotes

YES

405

146

Did Lyme disease come from a laboratory?

Nov 24, 5:25 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

9.82%chance

22855

OptionVotes

YES

1646

876

When will the next Elfstedentocht be?

Jan 30, 5:09 PMMay 1, 9:59 PM

18438

OptionProbability

A natural ice skating race is held under the name "Elfstedentocht" before 2050, but it doesn't happen between the original eleven cities

Before May 2050

The organing association disbands without replacement before any more are held

Before May 2042

An elfstedentocht is held using artificially produced ice before 2050

Before May 2035

Before May 2029

What are Donald Trumps real goals in relation with Greenland?

May 13, 8:17 PMDec 31, 9:16 PM

9180

OptionProbability

Ensure future safety of arctic shipping lines

Mining for Rare earths, ores or coal

Server farms and data centers (such as for AI)

Expansion of military bases (also in accordance with european goals)

52. State of America (or 51. if Canada successfully rejects)

Olympic Winter Games

Will thick-billed parrots be breeding in the wild in the US by 2040.

Sep 24, 3:04 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM

59.02%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

Nature Climate Change News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Nature Climate Change

Prediction markets for Nature Climate Change

Prediction markets for Nature Climate Change

Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?

Will Trump exact punishment on South Park?

Will a terrestrial natural disaster not caused by anthropogenic climate change wipe out humanity by 2100?

Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?

Did HIV come from a laboratory?

Did Lyme disease come from a laboratory?

When will the next Elfstedentocht be?

What are Donald Trumps real goals in relation with Greenland?

Will thick-billed parrots be breeding in the wild in the US by 2040.

Latest stories