OptionVotes
YES
NO
2438
1224
1846
1470
OptionProbability
Deepmind/Google/Alphabet
Anthropic
OpenAI/Microsoft
Another specific company (not one of the above or a subsidiary)
xAI or another Elon Musk-led AI initiative
A government or coalition of governments
Meta (Facebook) AI Research
A university/academic institute/independent researcher/non-profit organization or a combination of these
29
27
22
8
7
5
2
0
552
196
1081
928
147
116
A humanoid robot completes a full Marathon race.
A humanoid robot is featured on the cover of a major fashion magazine.
A humanoid robot is featured on the cover of Time magazine.
A humanoid robot capable of bipedal motion and natural language communication available for sale on Amazon.
89
50
45
