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Nature Machine Intelligence News
Prediction markets for Nature Machine Intelligence
Prediction markets for Nature Machine Intelligence
Will superintelligent AI take over humanity by 2030?
Dec 15, 5:59 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
6.44%
chance
19
2908
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2575
797
2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.
Mar 11, 12:08 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
82.06%
chance
37
2697
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1928
630
2030 – 4. “Agents” and “AGI” will be outdated terms that are no longer widely used.
Mar 11, 12:08 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
26.97%
chance
25
1329
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1017
852
Will a robot capable of passing both the Coffee Test and a strong, adversarial Turing test be created before 2100?
Mar 19, 8:27 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
94.15%
chance
17
1222
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1685
902
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