Nature Sustainability News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Nature Sustainability
Will 10% or more of Americans identify as atheist by 2040?
Oct 29, 5:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
84.08%chance
441459
OptionVotes
1793
711
OptionVotes
204
163
Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?
Apr 21, 1:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
3.42%chance
271318
OptionVotes
532
19
OptionVotes
377
27
Will Nestlé publicly apologize for its role in past human rights abuses by 2030?
Aug 7, 2:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
26.59%chance
12834
OptionVotes
1661
602
OptionProbability
24
18
17
15
8
6
6
3
3
Will there be a medical intervention that reliably alters Big 5 personality traits for willing participants before 2030?
Jan 11, 10:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
30.88%chance
14379
OptionVotes
150
67
Wild Honey Bees functionally extinct in the USA by 2030?
Jul 8, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
13.53%chance
11257
OptionVotes
259
40
In what year will AI achieve 90% of progress in TextQuests benchmark?
Aug 9, 12:49 AMDec 31, 11:00 PM
270
OptionProbability
31
12
12
12
12
12
10
OptionVotes
100
100