DeepNewz, mobile.
People-sourced. AI-powered. Unbiased News.
Download on the App Store
Screenshot of DeepNewz app showing story detail view.

NDA News

    Prediction markets for NDA

    Which job should I accept? [M$10,000 subsidy]

    Oct 14, 7:05 PMJan 1, 7:01 PM
    7352650

    OptionProbability

    If I accept the Penguin job, at what will I rate my overall life satisfaction in 2 years, on a scale of 0-100?

    If I accept the Genesis job, at what will I rate my overall life satisfaction in 2 years, on a scale of 0-100?

    If I accept the Genesis job, will I believe it to have been the correct decision in 6 months?

    If I accept the Penguin job, will I believe it to have been the correct decision in 6 months?

    If I accept the Penguin job, will I believe it to have been the correct decision in 4 years?

    If I accept the Genesis job, what will be my bonus in my first full year? (At a rate of 1 percentage point = $3000. So e.g. if it's $100k this answer resolves to 33%.)

    If I accept the Genesis job, will my total earnings from it after 5 years be at least 1.5 million?

    If I accept the Genesis job, will I believe it to have been the correct decision in 4 years?

    If I accept the Penguin job, will my total earnings from it after 5 years (valuing unsold equity at whatever I think it's "really worth") be at least 1.5 million?

    If I accept the Genesis job, will I end up leaving on bad terms?

    If I accept the Penguin job, will I end up leaving on bad terms?

    Will I accept the Genesis job? (As opposed to Penguin, resolves N/A if some weird third thing happens.)

    80

    79

    77

    69

    64

    62

    60

    59

    59

    21

    21

    0

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    2655

    780

    Will OpenAI become nothing by 2030?

    May 18, 7:46 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
    231906

    OptionProbability

    The scandal is forgotten without major change

    OpenAI significantly changes their NDA policy

    Sam Altman stops being CEO of OpenAI

    The government takes action against OpenAI

    OpenAI as an organization disintegrates into irrelevancy

    The NDAs grow into a major popular backlash against OpenAI

    64

    61

    60

    58

    20

    15

    Will my Agile Space Industries options be worth something?

    Apr 6, 7:41 PMApr 2, 5:59 AM
    77.43%chance
    51540

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    3308

    1022

Latest stories