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Prediction markets for NEET

Will a Third Temple be constructed in Jerusalem over the present site of the Dome of the Rock by 2050?

Oct 17, 12:11 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

9.04%chance

10627

OptionVotes

YES

NO

596

116

Will a playable build of Grand Theft Auto VI leak before November 1, 2026?

Aug 27, 7:48 AMOct 31, 11:59 PM

37%chance

13194

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

Will Studio Khara release one more Rebuild of Evangelion movie by 2030, about the events between 2.0 and 3.0?

Jul 28, 2:02 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

53.28%chance

687

OptionVotes

YES

NO

116

100

If AGI causes human extinction before 2100, which type of misalignment will be the biggest cause?

Jul 18, 7:20 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

575

OptionProbability

Intentional Misuse (ChaosGPT, etc.)

Multipolar Competition

Inner Misalignment

Outer Misalignment

27

25

24

24

Will Cygames add a playable character based on an American racehorse to Uma Musume: Pretty Derby before 2030?

Aug 27, 12:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.03%chance

373

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

96

1 in 6 Adults are NEET in 2031 (UK)

May 28, 12:50 AMJun 30, 11:00 PM

17%chance

457

OptionVotes

YES

NO

139

90

Will Touhou creator Ota Junya (ZUN) attend a convention in the United States before 2030?

Aug 27, 8:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Qiaochu Yuan stay NEET through EOY 2026?

Dec 23, 7:40 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

62

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