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Prediction markets for NET

Will net demand for graphic designers fall by 50% or more by 2025?

Aug 10, 1:31 AMSep 1, 3:59 AM

5%chance

12828388

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7285

1681

What will be the net sentiment on AI benefits vs drawbacks in the latest YouGov US poll of 2026?

Jan 16, 8:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6317815

OptionProbability

-20 to -10pp

-10 to 0pp

-30 to -20pp

<-30pp (strongly negative)

0 to +10pp

+10 to +20pp

+20 to +30pp

≥+30pp (strongly positive)

27

25

23

11

8

3

2

2

Mark Zuckerberg has a higher net worth than Elon Musk before 2030

Jan 18, 2:06 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM

14.91%chance

588256

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1803

132

[ACX 2026] What will be Donald Trump's net approval on December 31, 2026?

Jan 6, 10:45 PMJan 7, 7:59 AM

145512

OptionProbability

-15 to -11

-20 to -16

-30 to -21

-10 to -6

-6 to 9

-50 to -31

10 to 24

- 100 to - 51

25 to 100

26

25

14

13

8

5

4

2

2

Will I ever be net positive (real money) on Manifold before 2030?

Sep 9, 7:26 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

95.86%chance

193883

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3559

76

Will the 47th President reach a worse net approval rating than Biden?

Jul 29, 5:46 PMNov 1, 3:59 AM

50.46%chance

353451

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1034

1025

Will Elon Musk's net worth fall below $150 billion before 2030?

Dec 13, 8:43 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

16.78%chance

443299

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2063

206

Will the richest person in the world have a net worth over 1 Trillion USD at any point in 2030?

Feb 19, 11:51 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

61.46%chance

421925

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1454

415

Will UK net migration be negative in any year up to 2040?

Aug 12, 1:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.72%chance

141523

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1158

864

Will the BLS predict a net decline in jobs over the occupations "Computer Programmer" and "Software Developer" by 2028?

Aug 23, 5:32 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

50.07%chance

161264

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1257

604

Will the world achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2060?

Apr 23, 11:47 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

53.93%chance

221218

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1357

395

Will there be a year, before 2030, in which net AI suffering outweighs net 2022 farmed animal suffering?

Mar 17, 12:01 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

32.08%chance

121034

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1255

816

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