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Prediction markets for Network

Storage devices with neural networks pre-loaded sold in major electronics retailers by end of 2035

Jan 5, 5:22 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

30.11%chance

197235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15224

6573

Will someone fail to hydrate/eat, dying as a result, because they could not perceive reality, their hunger, or their thirst, while using a social media network in the next 10 years?

Dec 6, 3:48 AMDec 6, 4:00 AM

39.3%chance

171036

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1097

848

A single neural network will win multiple top short story awards (for many stories) before 2026. No editing.

May 19, 4:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.03%chance

16541

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1194

914

A "network state" will be recognized by the UN by 2040.

Feb 12, 5:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.8%chance

13496

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1062

553

Will a leading AI company productize Kolmogorov–Arnold Networks (KAN) by 2026?

May 6, 2:26 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

12.29%chance

19495

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1369

906

Will a humanoid robot controlled by an end-to-end neural network juggle three balls for ten seconds before 2030?

Mar 14, 10:01 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

87.04%chance

12437

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1195

932

Will we see the emergence of a 'super AI network' before 2035 ?

Jan 18, 8:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

71.99%chance

13432

OptionVotes

YES

NO

985

944

By 2027, will Silicon Photonics based multi-chip packages be the main way that most data centres handle data and network traffic?

Feb 25, 9:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.6%chance

21424

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1177

940

Will there be a significant public opposition to 6G cellular networks rollout when it happens?

Sep 1, 12:33 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

57.41%chance

13413

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1022

957

Will a neural network merge with a human brain before 2050?

Nov 25, 7:43 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

52.82%chance

16380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1038

934

Will a major social media network adopt product changes to prioritize posts that are truthful and accurate by 2028?

Mar 14, 4:37 PMMar 22, 3:59 AM

41.45%chance

10236

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1002

989

Will SUI and APTOS blockchains merge into a single network by December 31st, 2026?

Aug 27, 5:03 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

43.07%chance

3153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1150

870

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