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Prediction markets for Neura

Will Neuralink successfully enable a blind person to see again using its technology by 2030?

Jan 21, 2:42 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

68.41%chance

18391646

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1713

308

Will Elon Musk put a Neuralink chip in his brain before 2030?

Jan 30, 9:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

23.37%chance

26533167

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3059

2057

Will Neuralink successfully enable a paralyzed person to walk again using its technology by 2030?

Jan 21, 2:41 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

61.28%chance

9515065

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1619

500

Storage devices with neural networks pre-loaded sold in major electronics retailers by end of 2035

Jan 5, 5:22 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

29.98%chance

217286

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15272

6552

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.44%chance

213540

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1033

971

Will Neuralink be available for people without a disability in the US by 2035?

Mar 21, 4:28 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

64.01%chance

652875

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1516

485

Will a SotA AI model be trained to think in "neuralese" instead of human language by the end of 2030? (ACX, AI 2027 #5)

Apr 8, 7:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73%chance

252543

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1646

609

Will Neuralink be used for reparative therapy before the end of 2035?

Sep 26, 9:52 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

86.09%chance

131999

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2316

198

Will Tesla merge with any of xAI, X, SpaceX or Neuralink, before 2027?

Feb 2, 9:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.01%chance

201931

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1071

852

Human Controls Tesla Bot Humanoid Robot Via Neuralink by 2030

Mar 26, 6:18 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

72.61%chance

241276

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1757

568

Will someone be able to play Super Smash Bros directly with the Neuralink as a controller by the end of 2034?

Mar 21, 7:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

75.89%chance

191017

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1043

548

Will Neuralink's PRIME study report any unanticipated adverse device reactions?

Jan 31, 8:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

60.61%chance

17461

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1173

596

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