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Top stories

Guardrails AI Launches Snowglobe With Hundreds of Thousands of Scenarios and Synthetic Personas for AI Testing

Guardrails AI Launches Snowglobe With Hundreds of Thousands of Scenarios and Synthetic Personas for AI Testing

Authors

11

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Neural Operators

Will the United States ban AI research by the end of 2037?

Nov 10, 4:57 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

26.63%chance

1003598

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1892

1395

When will we get an operating system that's end-to-end generated by a neural network?

May 27, 8:07 AMDec 31, 9:07 AM

7553

OptionProbability

2025-2027

2031-2033

2028-2030

2037-2040

2034-2036

2046 or later or never

2041-2045

39

14

12

12

8

8

7

When will Genie-like methods be used to train a frontier model on computer-use tasks?

Sep 17, 11:10 PMDec 31, 11:43 PM

2130

OptionProbability

2029

2027

49

39

Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?

May 2, 4:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.19%chance

122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

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