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Prediction markets for Neuralink
Will Neuralink successfully enable a blind person to see again using its technology by 2030?
Jan 21, 2:42 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
68.41%chance
18391646
OptionVotes
1713
308
Will Elon Musk put a Neuralink chip in his brain before 2030?
Jan 30, 9:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
23.54%chance
26633173
OptionVotes
3040
2063
Will Neuralink successfully enable a paralyzed person to walk again using its technology by 2030?
Jan 21, 2:41 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
61.28%chance
9515065
OptionVotes
1619
500
10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
46.58%chance
233790
OptionVotes
1073
935
Will Neuralink be available for people without a disability in the US by 2035?
Mar 21, 4:28 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
62.94%chance
652900
OptionVotes
1491
500
Will Neuralink be used for reparative therapy before the end of 2035?
Sep 26, 9:52 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
86.09%chance
131999
OptionVotes
2316
198
Will Tesla merge with any of xAI, X, SpaceX or Neuralink, before 2027?
Feb 2, 9:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
35.01%chance
201931
OptionVotes
1071
852
Human Controls Tesla Bot Humanoid Robot Via Neuralink by 2030
Mar 26, 6:18 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
72.61%chance
241276
OptionVotes
1757
568
Will someone be able to play Super Smash Bros directly with the Neuralink as a controller by the end of 2034?
Mar 21, 7:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
75.49%chance
191027
OptionVotes
1047
538
Will I personally know someone with a Neuralink or other brain chip implant by the end of 2032?
Apr 10, 8:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
24.89%chance
29694
OptionVotes
2157
1925
Will Neuralink's PRIME study report any unanticipated adverse device reactions?
Jan 31, 8:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
60.61%chance
17461
OptionVotes
1173
596
100+ people regain mobility using a Neuralink device by mid 2027
Jun 19, 5:34 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
45.77%chance
6221
OptionVotes
1089
919


