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Top stories

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman Backs Merge Labs to Challenge Elon Musk’s Neuralink, Twitter and Tesla

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman Backs Merge Labs to Challenge Elon Musk’s Neuralink, Twitter and Tesla

Authors

11

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Neuralink

Will Neuralink successfully enable a blind person to see again using its technology by 2030?

Jan 21, 2:42 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

67.39%chance

18591740

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1690

319

Will Elon Musk put a Neuralink chip in his brain before 2030?

Jan 30, 9:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

20.25%chance

26933697

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3470

1943

Will Neuralink successfully enable a paralyzed person to walk again using its technology by 2030?

Jan 21, 2:41 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50.27%chance

10016663

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1398

675

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35%chance

325852

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1365

735

Will Neuralink be available for people without a disability in the US by 2035?

Mar 21, 4:28 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

62.94%chance

652900

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1491

500

Human Controls Tesla Bot Humanoid Robot Via Neuralink by 2030

Mar 26, 6:18 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

72.61%chance

241276

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1757

568

Will someone be able to play Super Smash Bros directly with the Neuralink as a controller by the end of 2034?

Mar 21, 7:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

75.49%chance

191027

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1047

538

Will I personally know someone with a Neuralink or other brain chip implant by the end of 2032?

Apr 10, 8:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.55%chance

31810

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2025

1882

Will Neuralink release a mass market commercial neural implant by 2030?

Jan 10, 1:12 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

22.25%chance

20778

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1154

940

Will Neuralink's PRIME study report any unanticipated adverse device reactions?

Jan 31, 8:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

60.61%chance

17461

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1173

596

Will Neuralink join the S&P 500?

Jan 2, 12:55 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

21.93%chance

11237

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1104

959

100+ people regain mobility using a Neuralink device by mid 2027

Jun 19, 5:34 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

45.77%chance

6221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1089

919

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