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Prediction markets for NeurIPS Conference

When will the average number of submissions to top AI conferences first decline over the previous year?

Aug 26, 7:05 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

46979

OptionProbability

2025

>2034

2024

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031-2034

Other

17

10

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

7. Major progress will be made on building AI systems that can themselves autonomously build better AI systems.

Dec 27, 8:18 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM

73.96%chance

203037

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1685

593

Will ACL continue to utilize ARR as the sole method of submission in 2025?

Jan 4, 4:55 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

66.74%chance

426

OptionVotes

NO

YES

136

92

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