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Prediction markets for Neutral

Will Bitcoin be carbon-neutral by 2030?

Jul 5, 7:56 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

13.93%chance

223199

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2485

402

Will a major country achieve complete carbon neutrality by 2040?

Jun 12, 6:04 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

55.09%chance

321939

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1051

924

Will the UK’s National Grid be carbon neutral by 2030?

Aug 21, 9:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.96%chance

261503

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1281

919

Will the UK’s National Grid be carbon neutral by 2035?

Aug 22, 12:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.5%chance

151112

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1004

936

SOAI#6: “AI neutrality” emerges as a foreign policy doctrine as some nations cannot or fail to develop sovereign AI

Oct 9, 11:06 PMDec 13, 12:06 AM

21.52%chance

171106

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1910

524

Will a major country achieve complete carbon neutrality by 2040?

Jul 11, 7:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

52.83%chance

16892

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1153

827

Will the trans community agree on a single, grammatically-singular, gender-neutral pronoun to use before 2035?

Mar 29, 8:47 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

8.79%chance

21622

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1289

943

Will any city of at least 100,000 people declare itself carbon neutral before 2035?

Feb 7, 7:41 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

91.63%chance

12520

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1480

907

What percent of those taking rapamycin to slow aging will comment a positive or neutral review?

Sep 5, 10:30 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

56.24%chance

14466

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1453

1085

Will the United States be carbon neutral before 2050?

Feb 9, 11:59 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

66.63%chance

14342

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1077

949

Will any state in the United States be carbon neutral before 2050?

Feb 9, 11:59 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

90.02%chance

10304

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1161

956

Will Ireland give up its neutrality before 2027?

Jul 28, 2:42 AMJan 1, 6:29 AM

21.53%chance

13183

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1147

943

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