New Product News

Should we hire you? [Job-finding market]

Aug 3, 4:44 PMDec 30, 4:14 PM

6597473

OptionProbability

Dummy answer required due to Manifold's multiple-choice market design, will resolve N/A

@retr0id

@vi

@Quroe

@Bandors

@zhengkyl

@Eternal

@Cy

@8my41

@astroblob

@AlirezaAfshan

@AtharvPatil

Pat Scott @Stralor

@Celene

Will Chalco's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 6.4 million tonnes?

May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

85.58%chance

1721452

OptionVotes

YES

35974

6720

Will Norsk Hydro's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 2.0 million tonnes?

May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

69.18%chance

914908

OptionVotes

YES

14981

6675

Will China Hongqiao Group's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 6.4 million tonnes?

May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

69.84%chance

610118

OptionVotes

YES

15217

6572

Will Rio Tinto's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 3.4 million tonnes?

May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

58.31%chance

66603

OptionVotes

YES

11826

8456

What new products will Framework announce before 2028?

Feb 24, 3:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31318

OptionProbability

New FW13 Mainboard

New FW16 graphics module

Updated FW13 chassis design

Expansion bay eGPU dock

Redesigned ethernet card

New FW16 Mainboard

New FW12 Mainboard

ARM Mainboard

100

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? [Polymarket]

Feb 23, 11:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

181215

OptionVotes

YES

205

Will a new cabage production leader arize by 2028?

Aug 28, 9:03 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

10.88%chance

14981

OptionVotes

YES

1856

832

Will ExxonMobil or ConocoPhillips officially announce a new joint venture or production agreement in Venezuela in 2026?

Jan 3, 7:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.19%chance

6489

OptionVotes

YES

160

What Will Be the Next Big Tech Industry Hype Cycle Thing After GPT-Enabled LLM's?

Mar 12, 6:40 PMDec 1, 5:59 AM

19463

OptionProbability

Robots

Some As of Early 2024 Not Even Published Yet Architecture as Revolutionary as Transformers was in 2017

Synthetic Biology / Genetic Engineering: For example, developing new vaccines, engineering proteins for sustainable fabric production, developing cell-cultured meats, plant-based meat alternatives, and engineering human immune cells.

Quantum Computing

In Jan 2028, will prediction markets occupy a new product vertical? [Resolves to Poll]

Sep 26, 12:57 AMOct 3, 6:59 AM

33%chance

3109

OptionVotes

YES

Will Mazda officially announce the production of a new Rotary engined car before 2030?

Sep 22, 1:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.78%chance

140

OptionVotes

YES

140

New Product News

Prediction markets for New Product

Prediction markets for New Product

Prediction markets for New Product

Should we hire you? [Job-finding market]

Will Chalco's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 6.4 million tonnes?

Will Norsk Hydro's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 2.0 million tonnes?

Will China Hongqiao Group's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 6.4 million tonnes?

Will Rio Tinto's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 3.4 million tonnes?

What new products will Framework announce before 2028?

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? [Polymarket]

Will a new cabage production leader arize by 2028?

Will ExxonMobil or ConocoPhillips officially announce a new joint venture or production agreement in Venezuela in 2026?

What Will Be the Next Big Tech Industry Hype Cycle Thing After GPT-Enabled LLM's?

In Jan 2028, will prediction markets occupy a new product vertical? [Resolves to Poll]

Will Mazda officially announce the production of a new Rotary engined car before 2030?

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