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Prediction markets for New World

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

Apr 21, 8:36 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

59.51%chance

317104503

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1173

837

Will neither New Zealand nor South Africa be in the 2027 Rugby World Cup Final?

Oct 31, 5:09 AMNov 4, 3:59 PM

4%chance

61766

OptionVotes

YES

NO

671

37

When will the New World Screwworm be eradicated in South America?

Oct 12, 3:05 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

9803

OptionProbability

2032-2034

2050 or later

2026-2028

2029-2031

2035-2037

2038-2040

2041-2043

2044-2046

2047-2049

2023-2025

12

12

11

11

10

10

10

10

10

1

Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the US, before 2027?

Apr 5, 11:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.73%chance

14646

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

909

Will a new pandemic caused by a currently unknown virus be declared by the World Health Organization by 2030?

Jan 23, 3:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

47.51%chance

28628

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1042

936

Will New World screwworm (maggots that eat animals alive) be effectively eradicated from the wild by 2030?

Jan 10, 10:14 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

14.46%chance

20316

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1046

974

Will New Zealand fail to qualify for a Rugby World Cup in the 21st century?

Feb 9, 7:58 AMJan 1, 10:59 AM

19.11%chance

4142

OptionVotes

YES

NO

165

57

Will there be a new world record score in tournament Scrabble by 2030?

May 15, 5:50 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

33.42%chance

465

OptionVotes

YES

NO

141

71

Will any club in USL's new first division league reach the top 20 of the world's most valuable soccer clubs before 2050?

Mar 24, 6:28 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

28.09%chance

360

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

62

Will New Zealand men's national football team win a match at FIFA World Cup 2026?

Mar 24, 8:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.56%chance

330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

107

93

Will someone write a new Sophie's world book featuring @arithmoquine, repligate, @adic_9, JDP, or parafactual by 2028

Jun 11, 5:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

is brave new world a utopia or distopia?

Mar 17, 10:48 AM

110

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