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Prediction markets for New York Open

Should we hire you? [Job-finding market]

Aug 3, 4:44 PMDec 30, 4:14 PM

6597857

OptionProbability

Dummy answer required due to Manifold's multiple-choice market design, will resolve N/A

@retr0id

@vi

@Bandors

@zhengkyl

@Eternal

@Cy

@8my41

@astroblob

@AlirezaAfshan

@AtharvPatil

@Quroe

@Celene

Pat Scott @Stralor

50

25

20

18

15

15

14

13

11

10

10

0

0

0

New York Times vs. OpenAI: Will the NYT win the Copyright Lawsuit on any count?

Dec 28, 1:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41239768

OptionProbability

The case will settle out of court

The New York Times will win the lawsuit

OpenAI will win the lawsuit

Other

37

27

19

17

Will the New York Times (NYT) achieve a favorable outcome in its copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?

Dec 27, 9:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79.55%chance

799213

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1428

958

Is "jerky" a reference to human meat in Epstein files?

Feb 15, 6:14 AMDec 31, 6:12 AM

13.63%chance

205211

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2518

397

Trump meets Kim Jong Un in 2026?

Aug 20, 4:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

22.12%chance

261868

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1877

533

Will the Panguna Mine resume operations by 2028?

Apr 10, 2:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.6%chance

20453

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1128

889

When will the Interborough Express (IBX) in New York City open for passenger service?

Jan 28, 7:40 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

5439

OptionProbability

2031 or later

2029

2030

2028

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

90

4

3

2

0

0

0

0

0

Will the New York Times v. OpenAI suit cause a setback for AI safety?

Dec 30, 5:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

9.11%chance

5222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

271

69

Will Buc-ee's open their first New York location by the end of 2027?

Apr 24, 6:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.06%chance

7143

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

The steps at the foot of the New York State Capital have been closed for 10 years, will they open again before EOY 2029?

Mar 30, 5:16 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

61.38%chance

226

OptionVotes

NO

YES

146

99

Will Buc-ee's open their first New York location by the end of 2028?

Apr 24, 6:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.03%chance

323

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

98

What year will the Interborough Express (IBX) in New York City open for passenger service?

May 26, 7:04 AMJan 1, 8:04 AM

110

OptionProbability

Other

2034

2035

2036

40

20

20

20

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