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Prediction markets for New York Open

New York Times vs. OpenAI: Will the NYT win the Copyright Lawsuit on any count?

Dec 28, 1:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41139585

OptionProbability

The case will settle out of court

The New York Times will win the lawsuit

OpenAI will win the lawsuit

Other

37

29

18

16

🧑‍⚖️ Will The New York Times Win A Lawsuit Against OpenAI & Microsoft?

Dec 27, 2:03 PMJun 1, 5:59 AM

54.64%chance

6314902

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

859

Will the New York Times (NYT) achieve a favorable outcome in its copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?

Dec 27, 9:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

78.74%chance

789163

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1378

972

Will a quantum computer prove capable of breaking 2048 bit RSA encryption by 2030?

Sep 25, 8:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

18.95%chance

424571

OptionVotes

NO

YES

987

811

Will The New York Times win its copyright infringement suit against OpenAI and Microsoft?

Dec 27, 6:13 PMJun 1, 5:59 AM

57.5%chance

524373

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1034

936

Will the New York Times case against OpenAI and Microsoft go to Supreme court?

Dec 28, 2:40 PMMay 31, 7:00 AM

30%chance

622646

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1041

964

Will the Panguna Mine resume operations by 2028?

Apr 10, 2:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.6%chance

20453

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1128

889

When will the Interborough Express (IBX) in New York City open for passenger service?

Jan 28, 7:40 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

5439

OptionProbability

2031 or later

2029

2030

2028

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

90

4

3

2

0

0

0

0

0

Will there be a large protest across US based on a political/ economical/ social issue?

Sep 30, 10:27 AMMar 31, 9:58 AM

75.79%chance

9335

OptionVotes

NO

YES

177

57

Will the New York Times v. OpenAI suit cause a setback for AI safety?

Dec 30, 5:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

16%chance

4122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

171

82

The steps at the foot of the New York State Capital have been closed for 10 years, will they open again before EOY 2029?

Mar 30, 5:16 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

61.38%chance

226

OptionVotes

NO

YES

146

99

What year will the Interborough Express (IBX) in New York City open for passenger service?

May 26, 7:04 AMJan 1, 8:04 AM

110

OptionProbability

Other

2034

2035

2036

40

20

20

20

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