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Prediction markets for New York Open

New York Times vs. OpenAI: Will the NYT win the Copyright Lawsuit on any count?

Dec 28, 1:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41239715

OptionProbability

The case will settle out of court

The New York Times will win the lawsuit

OpenAI will win the lawsuit

Other

37

26

19

18

Will the New York Times (NYT) achieve a favorable outcome in its copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?

Dec 27, 9:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79.55%chance

799213

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1428

958

Is "jerky" a reference to human meat in Epstein files?

Feb 15, 6:14 AMDec 31, 6:12 AM

13.57%chance

205210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2524

396

Will a quantum computer prove capable of breaking 2048 bit RSA encryption by 2030?

Sep 25, 8:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19%chance

454728

OptionVotes

NO

YES

987

809

Will the Panguna Mine resume operations by 2028?

Apr 10, 2:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.6%chance

20453

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1128

889

When will the Interborough Express (IBX) in New York City open for passenger service?

Jan 28, 7:40 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

5439

OptionProbability

2031 or later

2029

2030

2028

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

90

4

3

2

0

0

0

0

0

Statue of Liberty still standing by 2045?

Apr 9, 8:38 PMApr 9, 10:59 PM

76.78%chance

14258

OptionVotes

NO

YES

182

55

Will the New York Times v. OpenAI suit cause a setback for AI safety?

Dec 30, 5:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

16%chance

4122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

171

82

The steps at the foot of the New York State Capital have been closed for 10 years, will they open again before EOY 2029?

Mar 30, 5:16 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

61.38%chance

226

OptionVotes

NO

YES

146

99

Will Buc-ee's open their first New York location by the end of 2027?

Apr 24, 6:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.58%chance

221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

121

83

Will Buc-ee's open their first New York location by the end of 2028?

Apr 24, 6:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.8%chance

211

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

What year will the Interborough Express (IBX) in New York City open for passenger service?

May 26, 7:04 AMJan 1, 8:04 AM

110

OptionProbability

Other

2034

2035

2036

40

20

20

20

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