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Prediction markets for Newsroom

Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 6:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

90%chance

32794264

OptionVotes

NO

YES

17704

4439

GPT 5.6 release date?

May 16, 4:22 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM

8119219

OptionProbability

By June 28th

By May 31st

By June 7th

By June 14th

By June 21st

25

0

0

0

0

What will be the IRS limit for IRA contributions in 2027?

Nov 14, 6:13 AMNov 16, 7:59 AM

33681

OptionProbability

7500

8000

8500

Other

9000

54

23

11

8

4

[v2] GPT 5.6 release date?

Jun 23, 4:32 PMJul 31, 10:59 PM

121873

OptionProbability

By July 31st

By July 24th

By July 17th

By July 10th

93

85

82

66

Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2030?

Jan 2, 4:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

92.36%chance

171173

OptionVotes

NO

YES

348

29

Will Apple announce it has agreed to acquire Disney by the end of 2030?

Nov 13, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

32%chance

13938

OptionVotes

NO

YES

176

169

Will Apple announce it has agreed to acquire Disney by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 6:29 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.91%chance

13704

OptionVotes

YES

NO

497

20

Will Apple announce it has agreed to acquire Comcast by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 6:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.37%chance

10569

OptionVotes

YES

NO

468

21

Will Apple release a new iMac before July 1, 2026?

Apr 9, 7:08 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

3.58%chance

10486

OptionVotes

YES

NO

519

19

Bari Weiss remains CBS News editor-in-chief through 2026?

Oct 22, 10:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.84%chance

5245

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1148

871

Will Anthropic publicly release Claude Opus 4.9 by August 31, 2026?

Jun 21, 3:22 AMSep 1, 12:00 AM

28.65%chance

16212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

148

73

Will Apple introduce an AI assistant product that can speak and display basic human-like emotions before EOY 2027

Jan 3, 9:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.06%chance

6105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

131

77

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