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Prediction markets for Newsroom

What will be the IRS limit for IRA contributions in 2027?

Nov 14, 6:13 AMNov 16, 7:59 AM

54161

OptionProbability

8000

7500

8500

Other

9000

53

35

5

5

2

Bari Weiss remains CBS News editor-in-chief through 2026?

Oct 22, 10:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

83.72%chance

111534

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2267

441

Will Pogacar or Vingegaard test positive for a banned substance in 2026?

Jul 20, 3:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

91442

OptionProbability

Neither

Only Vingegaard

Both

Only Pogacar

95

2

2

1

Will Apple announce it has agreed to acquire Disney by the end of 2030?

Nov 13, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

32%chance

13938

OptionVotes

NO

YES

176

169

Will Apple announce it has agreed to acquire Disney by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 6:29 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.16%chance

13764

OptionVotes

YES

NO

555

18

Brazil 2026 Election: Who will participate in at least one televised Brazilian presidential debate?

Jan 19, 2:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10670

OptionProbability

Ronaldo Caiado

Romeu Zema

Flávio Bolsonaro

Luis Inácio Lula da Silva

Tarcísio Freitas

100

95

72

70

0

Will Apple announce it has agreed to acquire Comcast by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 6:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.12%chance

11660

OptionVotes

YES

NO

557

18

Will OpenAI release a fully autonomous AI agent product before July 2027?

Aug 20, 12:44 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

92.43%chance

11350

OptionVotes

NO

YES

350

29

Will Apple introduce an AI assistant product that can speak and display basic human-like emotions before EOY 2027

Jan 3, 9:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.06%chance

6105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

131

77

Will OpenAI in EOY 2027 primarily serve inference on their flagship model on non-GPU hardware

Sep 3, 5:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.01%chance

772

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

75

Will Apple discontinue its folding phone format by the end of 2030?

Sep 9, 7:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.47%chance

325

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

97

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