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Prediction markets for NEWT

Will there be a major paradigm shift in physics, like Newtonian to Modern Physics, by the end of 2040?

Jan 14, 12:56 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

27.61%chance

7316505

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1006

929

Will a canal be created in the Strait of Hormuz using nuclear weapons?

Mar 15, 11:09 PMJan 1, 12:08 AM

0.72%chance

91589

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1177

8

Who will be major candidates in the 2028 Republican primaries?

Mar 9, 4:35 AMJun 2, 4:59 AM

101224

OptionProbability

JD Vance

Marco Rubio

Ron DeSantis

Ted Cruz

Josh Hawley

Nikki Haley

Glenn Youngkin

Brian Kemp

Vivek Ramaswamy

Tim Scott

Donald Trump Jr.

Tulsi Gabbard

Eric Trump

73

52

45

42

37

32

32

31

27

25

19

14

14

Which books will I rate 5 stars, if I read them?

Jan 1, 6:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

231124

OptionProbability

The Way of Kings by Brandon Sanderson

Merchant Magician by John Champaign

The Road by Cormac McCarthy

(The books you will rate 5 stars)

The Player of Games by Iain M. Banks

Crime and Punishment

Catch-22 by Joseph Heller

Lord of Light by Roger Zelazny

Hyperion by Dan Simmons

Exhalation by Ted Chiang

War with the Newts

Small Things Like These by Claire Keegan

Great Gatsby

If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies by Nate Soares and Eliezer Yudkowsky

Existential Kink by Carolyn Elliott

99

85

75

66

65

64

64

61

61

57

50

50

43

41

19

Will the Gaowangjie Crocodile Newt (Tylototriton gaowangjienensis) become Extinct by 2100?

Aug 27, 3:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.96%chance

3268

OptionVotes

NO

YES

754

312

Isaac Newton stock

Nov 13, 4:59 PM

552

OptionProbability

NO

YES

132

76

Are these 5 women on the level of Einstein, Newton, and Archimedes?

Jan 25, 9:33 PM

260

Pity Mana [SEE DESC]

Dec 4, 3:50 AM

00

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