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Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Jun 4, 5:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

131913713

OptionProbability

Scott Wiener

Saikat Chakrabarti

Connie Chan

Other

Bruce Lou

Christine Pelosi

Jane Kim

Nancy Pelosi will live forever and always win

London Breed

78

15

5

1

0

0

0

0

0

Who will be the next pope after Leo XIV?

May 6, 3:02 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

13581192

OptionProbability

Other

Mykola Bychok

Luis Antonio Tagle

Pierbattista Pizzaballa

Lazarus You Heung-sik

Pietro Parolin

José Tolentino de Mendonça

No one

Giorgio Marengo

Robert Prevost

Francis Leo

Paulo Cezar Costa

Américo Aguiar

Donald Trump

François-Xavier Bustillo

Joe Biden

82

5

4

4

2

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will $Kendu reach 100B MC in next bull run?

Sep 13, 10:15 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

2.43%chance

2468963

OptionVotes

YES

NO

50207

800

Biden ranked below Carter in next C-SPAN Presidential Historians Survey

Dec 3, 5:59 PMJul 1, 11:00 PM

47%chance

6417828

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1064

943

Will Kelsey Piper receive a Pulitzer Prize related to her coverage on any AI company/lab within the next 10 years?

May 23, 6:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.38%chance

3411193

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8143

1543

What will be the party of the next President of the United States?

Oct 15, 6:37 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

256731

OptionProbability

Democrat

Republican

Other

58

41

1

Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by the end of 2030?

Jul 24, 10:17 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

66%chance

543006

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1139

901

Is the cognitive core hypothesis true? Will it be clear next year?

Dec 7, 7:06 PMDec 8, 6:39 PM

36.12%chance

71161

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3991

2255

Will LTPZ outperform SPY over the next 10 years?

Dec 3, 2:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43.06%chance

3172

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1150

870

Which country will next change its traffic handedness after 2025?

Aug 22, 11:21 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Myanmar

Thailand

Papua New Guinea

50

50

50

Which country will next change its national electrical frequency after 2025?

Aug 22, 11:27 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Japan

South Korea

Philippines

Other

25

25

25

25

Will the developers of the game Farlight 84 adding back jetpacks in next update?

Mar 29, 9:08 PMDec 30, 10:04 PM

00

OptionProbability

Yes

No

They wouldn't add jetpacks in the next update, but in the one after that yes

33

33

33

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