Nine News

Will Taylor Swift get married before.....?

Jan 23, 10:17 PMJan 31, 4:59 AM

12114166

OptionProbability

Taylor Swift goes to Space

Puerto Rico becomes a (US) State

Taylor Swift dates somebody who does not identify as a man

Taylor Swift dies

Nate Silver wins a WSOP Bracelet

Nine months prior to the birth of Taylor Swift’s first child

China full-scale invades Taiwan

The Winds of Winter (Game of Thrones 6th Novel) is Published

Steven "Destiny" Kenneth Bonnell II gets remarried

GameStop files for Bankruptcy

Cannabis is Federally Legalized

Steven "Destiny" Kenneth Bonnell II appears on "The Joe Rogan Experience"

Destiny is unbanned from Twitch

The Buffalo Bills beat the Kansas City Chiefs in the playoffs

The Carolina Panthers clinch a playoff berth

A Non-QB wins the NFL MVP award

A woman is president of the United States

A United States presidential candidate endorsed by Taylor Swift gets elected

Taylor Swift performs at the Super Bowl

Taylor Swift does not have a live performance for a period of at least 2 years

Travis Kelce Retires From the NFL

Travis Kelce wins a fourth Super Bowl

Any United States current or former president dies (after Jimmy Carter)

The United States reports a Recession

Songs on The Tortured Poets Department reach 10 Billion total streams

Songs on Midnights reach 20 Billion total streams

The UN has a new member state

Obergefell is effectively overturned by the Supreme Court

King Charles III ceases to be the King of the UK (or England, if the UK is broken up)

A Supreme Court justice dies or announces retirement

Taylor Swift releases 2 new (non-rerecord) albums

Taylor Swift gets engaged

Taylor Swift releases her "Taylor Swift" album rerecord

Reputation (TV) is released

A major Philadelphia sports team (NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB) wins a championship

Jimmy Carter Dies

The Same Party Controls the U.S. House, Senate and Presidency

Taylor Swift attends a Super Bowl won by the Kansas City Chiefs

Pope Francis ceases to be Pope

Does Planet Nine exist?

Mar 7, 3:55 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

39.4%chance

11914105

OptionVotes

YES

1324

693

Is Planet Nine a Primordial Black Hole?

May 9, 6:16 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

2.17%chance

204701

OptionVotes

YES

3878

842

How many distinct schemes are there for predicting a number on Manifold?

Oct 27, 7:00 PMOct 28, 6:59 AM

91288

OptionProbability

Five

Six

Seven

Four

Eight

Nine

Other

Two or three

One

When will Planet Nine be officially recognized?

Jul 26, 6:26 AMDec 31, 8:59 PM

8.12%chance

10670

OptionProbability

YES

605

295

If Planet Nine is discovered, what will it be named?

Mar 21, 11:40 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

13302

OptionProbability

Other

Persephone

Telisto

Jehoshaphat

Which of these bands will release a new studio album in 2025?

Mar 9, 3:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6206

OptionProbability

Deftones

Modest Mouse

Tool

Nine Inch Nails

Will there still be at least nine Commonwealth Realms in 2028?

May 8, 12:07 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

75.32%chance

11201

OptionVotes

YES

1027

981

Will Planet Nine be confirmed by the end of 2028?

Apr 30, 7:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.92%chance

7185

OptionVotes

YES

249

Who will be the next of these four Round One 2021 NFL QBs to start at least nine games in a season?

Mar 30, 2:16 PMJan 31, 3:59 PM

5151

OptionProbability

Justin Fields

Mac Jones

Zach Wilson

Trey Lance

Year that at least nine states in the United States are majority-minority

Jan 16, 4:13 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

29.87%chance

496

OptionProbability

YES

403

259

Will California have a lower GDP per capital than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?

May 1, 12:27 AMJan 18, 8:00 PM

53.93%chance

326

OptionVotes

YES

Nine News

Prediction markets for Nine

Prediction markets for Nine

Prediction markets for Nine

Will Taylor Swift get married before.....?

Does Planet Nine exist?

Is Planet Nine a Primordial Black Hole?

How many distinct schemes are there for predicting a number on Manifold?

When will Planet Nine be officially recognized?

If Planet Nine is discovered, what will it be named?

Which of these bands will release a new studio album in 2025?

Will there still be at least nine Commonwealth Realms in 2028?

Will Planet Nine be confirmed by the end of 2028?

Who will be the next of these four Round One 2021 NFL QBs to start at least nine games in a season?

Year that at least nine states in the United States are majority-minority

Will California have a lower GDP per capital than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?

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