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Prediction markets for No Contract Required

Will the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?

Feb 12, 9:43 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

22.76%chance

4410757

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1842

543

Will Canada sign a binding procurement contract for the Saab Gripen fighter before the end of 2026?

Jan 22, 4:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.62%chance

204716

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1322

756

How will the lawsuit over the sale of my home resolve in 2026?

Apr 24, 3:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

103759

OptionProbability

Appeal or other delay into 2027

Judgment primarily for buyer (25-99%)

Judgment entirely for buyer (100%+)

Settlement to sell for < $1.6M

Judgment approximately even (+/-25%)

Settlement to sell for >= $1.6M

Judgment primarily for me (25-99%)

Judgment entirely for me (100%+)

52

14

12

9

5

3

2

2

Will the "US x Iran permanent peace deal" Polymarket resolution result in a successful class action lawsuit?

Jun 20, 12:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.56%chance

93275

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4216

1364

Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Oct 30, 1:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.08%chance

241733

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1085

921

Private space agency buys ISS before being decommissioned

Dec 30, 3:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.81%chance

11838

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1103

387

Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?

Jul 22, 10:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.91%chance

7487

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1319

797

Hibernation market

Nov 30, 7:54 AMDec 8, 4:59 AM

45%chance

9413

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

China provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?

Oct 30, 12:17 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

52.33%chance

6247

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1115

1009

Prediction markets legalized in India by 2035?

Dec 22, 7:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.99%chance

7157

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

65

Will the AT Protocol (bluesky) end up being used as a distributed ledger?

Aug 20, 8:00 AMJun 26, 11:59 AM

30.88%chance

251

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

When will Polymarket disable permissionless pUSD withdrawals?

May 4, 1:36 PMDec 31, 2:02 PM

00

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028 or later

33

33

33

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