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Top stories

Trump Sets Record With 3-Hour Cabinet Meeting as Envoy Pushes Nobel Bid

US Foreign Policy

US Domestic Policy

Trump Sets Record With 3-Hour Cabinet Meeting as Envoy Pushes Nobel Bid

Authors

17

1 year ago

Armenia and Azerbaijan Lead Eight-Nation Push to Nominate Trump for 2025 Nobel Peace Prize

Armenia and Azerbaijan Lead Eight-Nation Push to Nominate Trump for 2025 Nobel Peace Prize

Authors

10

1 year ago

US Ambassador Charles Kushner Praises Trump, Cites Nobel Peace Prize, Criticizes France on Ukraine, Hamas, and Antisemitism

US Foreign Policy

US Ambassador Charles Kushner Praises Trump, Cites Nobel Peace Prize, Criticizes France on Ukraine, Hamas, and Antisemitism

Authors

4

1 year ago

US Foreign Policy

Donald Trump Claims Ending Up to 10 Wars, Cites Serbia-Kosovo, Egypt-Ethiopia, Tariffs, Iran Nuclear Role Amid Nobel Peace Prize Bid

Authors

13

1 year ago

US Foreign Policy

Trump Links Ukraine Peace Push to Personal Bid for Heaven

Authors

38

1 year ago

US Foreign Policy

India to Fortify Multialignment Amid Trump Impact, Operation Sindoor, Closer Philippines Ties, and Pakistan Nuclear Site Strike

Authors

3

1 year ago

US Foreign Policy

Hillary Clinton Would Nominate Trump for Nobel Peace Prize If He Ends Russia-Ukraine War Without Ukraine Ceding Territory

Authors

28

1 year ago

US Foreign Policy

Rep. Ogles Plans Nobel Peace Nomination for Trump After Putin Talks

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Nobel Peace Prize

Will Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize by the end of 2028?

Nov 8, 6:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.98%chance

132110201

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8161

474

Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize?

Jan 29, 6:49 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

3.22%chance

5641322

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5485

182

Trump wins Nobel Peace Prize 2027?

Oct 9, 10:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.75%chance

1616921

OptionVotes

YES

NO

25685

9005

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Nobel peace prize before 2100?

May 7, 8:19 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

6.84%chance

404348

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1193

957

Will William MacAskill ever win the Nobel Peace Prize?

Sep 17, 6:27 PMMar 24, 3:59 AM

3.57%chance

313564

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1714

904

Will Greta Thunberg receive the Nobel peace prize before she dies?

Oct 30, 5:33 PMNov 7, 4:59 AM

11.86%chance

253119

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1360

908

Will GiveWell win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2040?

Nov 18, 8:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.36%chance

322372

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1695

870

Will qiaochu yuan win the Nobel prize in Peace or in literature?

May 13, 9:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1.95%chance

5612

OptionVotes

YES

NO

710

14

If Eliezer Yudkowsky wins the Nobel Peace Prize, what will it be for?

Nov 30, 11:13 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16353

OptionProbability

Delaying superintelligence

Alignment research

Accelerating AI progress

75

41

9

Will the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027 be related to the Russia-Ukraine conflict?

Oct 9, 3:15 PMOct 15, 11:59 PM

8.68%chance

10302

OptionVotes

YES

NO

324

31

Next non-Republican US President wins Nobel Peace Prize?

Oct 10, 3:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.27%chance

5111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

148

67

Will Donald Trump Win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2028?

Oct 12, 5:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.28%chance

2110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

210

95

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