Nobel Peace News
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Prediction markets for Nobel Peace
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Jan 9, 1:47 PMDec 11, 10:59 PM
4.88%chance
178199580
OptionVotes
1836
1422
Will Trump win the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize iff there is a ceasefire in Ukraine before 2026? (or not if there isn't)
Aug 16, 3:08 AMJan 3, 11:59 PM
78%chance
25696575
OptionVotes
1883
531
Will Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize by the end of 2028?
Nov 8, 6:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
7.94%chance
8149888
OptionVotes
5322
643
OptionVotes
9950
101
OptionProbability
89
4
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
4899
204
Will William MacAskill ever win the Nobel Peace Prize?
Sep 17, 6:27 PMMar 24, 3:59 AM
3.5%chance
302528
OptionVotes
1750
902
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Nobel peace prize before 2100?
May 7, 8:19 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM
6.11%chance
342477
OptionVotes
1332
947
OptionVotes
1695
870
Will Greta Thunberg receive the Nobel peace prize before she dies?
Oct 30, 5:33 PMNov 7, 4:59 AM
15.68%chance
201742
OptionVotes
1040
959
OptionVotes
1987
916
If Eliezer Yudkowsky wins the Nobel Peace Prize, what will it be for?
Nov 30, 11:13 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
8139
OptionProbability
60
45
17