Nobel Peace News

Bangladesh Warns It Can No Longer Sustain 1.3 Million Rohingya Refugees

1 year ago

Will Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize by the end of 2028?

Nov 8, 6:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.98%chance

132110201

OptionVotes

YES

8161

474

Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize?

Jan 29, 6:49 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

3.22%chance

5641322

OptionVotes

YES

5485

182

Trump wins Nobel Peace Prize 2027?

Oct 9, 10:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.75%chance

1616921

OptionVotes

YES

25685

9005

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Nobel peace prize before 2100?

May 7, 8:19 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

6.84%chance

404348

OptionVotes

YES

1193

957

Will William MacAskill ever win the Nobel Peace Prize?

Sep 17, 6:27 PMMar 24, 3:59 AM

3.57%chance

313564

OptionVotes

YES

1714

904

Will Greta Thunberg receive the Nobel peace prize before she dies?

Oct 30, 5:33 PMNov 7, 4:59 AM

11.86%chance

253119

OptionVotes

YES

1360

908

Will GiveWell win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2040?

Nov 18, 8:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.36%chance

322372

OptionVotes

YES

1695

870

Krantz hiring Danny Sheehan | Nobel Peace Price

Aug 19, 5:01 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

6721

OptionProbability

Krantz does not hire Danny Sheehan as his attorney by 2030

Krantz hires Danny Sheehan as his attorney by 2030, and both Krantz and Sheehan win the Nobel Peace Prize by 2050

Krantz hires Danny Sheehan as his attorney by 2030, and Sheehan (but not Krantz) wins the Nobel Peace Prize by 2050

Krantz hires Danny Sheehan as his attorney by 2030, and Krantz (but not Sheehan) wins the Nobel Peace Prize by 2050

Krantz hires Danny Sheehan as his attorney by 2030, and neither Krantz nor Sheehan win the Nobel Peace Prize by 2050

If Eliezer Yudkowsky wins the Nobel Peace Prize, what will it be for?

Nov 30, 11:13 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16353

OptionProbability

Delaying superintelligence

Alignment research

Accelerating AI progress

Will the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027 be related to the Russia-Ukraine conflict?

Oct 9, 3:15 PMOct 15, 11:59 PM

8.68%chance

10302

OptionVotes

YES

324

Next non-Republican US President wins Nobel Peace Prize?

Oct 10, 3:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.27%chance

5111

OptionVotes

YES

148

Will Donald Trump Win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2028?

Oct 12, 5:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.28%chance

2110

OptionVotes

YES

210

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Prediction markets for Nobel Peace

Prediction markets for Nobel Peace

Will Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize by the end of 2028?

Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize?

Trump wins Nobel Peace Prize 2027?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Nobel peace prize before 2100?

Will William MacAskill ever win the Nobel Peace Prize?

Will Greta Thunberg receive the Nobel peace prize before she dies?

Will GiveWell win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2040?

Krantz hiring Danny Sheehan | Nobel Peace Price

If Eliezer Yudkowsky wins the Nobel Peace Prize, what will it be for?

Will the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027 be related to the Russia-Ukraine conflict?

Next non-Republican US President wins Nobel Peace Prize?

Will Donald Trump Win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2028?

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