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Nobel Prize in Economics News

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Prediction markets for Nobel Prize in Economics

Will someone win a Nobel prize in Economics for contributions to blockchain/cryptocurrencies by 2040?

Dec 12, 7:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.44%chance

403995

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1251

477

Robin Hanson wins a Nobel Prize in Economics?

Oct 10, 7:10 AMDec 31, 8:10 AM

16.5%chance

163804

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2249

445

Chad Jones wins Nobel Prize in Economics before 2033?

Oct 21, 2:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.33%chance

21350

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2350

426

Will either a Nobel Prize in Economics or a Turing Award be awarded to Satoshi Nakamoto before 2050?

Oct 6, 6:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5.84%chance

101324

OptionVotes

YES

NO

547

152

Will anyone get Nobel prize for results related to ergodicity economics before 2030?

Aug 15, 7:54 PMMar 1, 4:59 PM

9.33%chance

11811

OptionVotes

YES

NO

513

49

Will Susan Athey win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

Mar 9, 4:36 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

44.86%chance

24662

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1164

737

Will econometrics fully switch to graphical causal inference by the end of 2028?

Mar 21, 8:31 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

10.71%chance

8305

OptionVotes

YES

NO

289

35

Will Matthew Rognlie (https://sites.northwestern.edu/rognlie/) win the Nobel Prize in Economics in his lifetime?

Sep 14, 12:48 PMSep 21, 10:59 PM

50%chance

1100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will at least one US citizen be awarded the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics?

Jan 12, 12:59 AMOct 17, 10:59 PM

70.31%chance

383

OptionVotes

NO

YES

354

265

Will Ben Golub [Northwestern U prof] ever win the nobel prize in economics

Jul 31, 10:24 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36.09%chance

434

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

75

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