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Nobel Prize in Economics News

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Prediction markets for Nobel Prize in Economics

Robin Hanson wins a Nobel Prize in Economics?

Oct 10, 7:10 AMDec 31, 8:10 AM

20.26%chance

204182

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1984

504

Will someone win a Nobel prize in Economics for contributions to blockchain/cryptocurrencies by 2040?

Dec 12, 7:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.44%chance

403995

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1251

477

Chad Jones wins Nobel Prize in Economics before 2033?

Oct 21, 2:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.89%chance

31600

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2600

385

Will either a Nobel Prize in Economics or a Turing Award be awarded to Satoshi Nakamoto before 2050?

Oct 6, 6:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5.84%chance

101324

OptionVotes

YES

NO

547

152

Will anyone get Nobel prize for results related to ergodicity economics before 2030?

Aug 15, 7:54 PMMar 1, 4:59 PM

9.33%chance

11811

OptionVotes

YES

NO

513

49

Will Susan Athey win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

Mar 9, 4:36 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

44.86%chance

24662

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1164

737

Will Robin Hanson receive the Nobel Prize in Economics?

Jun 16, 12:26 PMJan 1, 11:00 AM

11.78%chance

12402

OptionVotes

YES

NO

274

37

Will Robin Hanson win the Nobel Prize for Economics before his death?

Apr 22, 5:30 PMApr 22, 5:28 PM

13.61%chance

10390

OptionVotes

YES

NO

252

40

Will at least one US citizen be awarded the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics?

Jan 12, 12:59 AMOct 17, 10:59 PM

72.49%chance

4108

OptionVotes

NO

YES

379

255

Will Matthew Rognlie (https://sites.northwestern.edu/rognlie/) win the Nobel Prize in Economics in his lifetime?

Sep 14, 12:48 PMSep 21, 10:59 PM

50%chance

1100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

If a Nobel Prize for Economics is awarded to work on prediction markets before 2040, will the recipient be Robin Hanson?

Apr 25, 11:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.61%chance

861

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

Will Ben Golub [Northwestern U prof] ever win the nobel prize in economics

Jul 31, 10:24 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36.09%chance

434

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

75

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