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Nobel Prize in Economics News

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Prediction markets for Nobel Prize in Economics

Robin Hanson wins a Nobel Prize in Economics?

Oct 10, 7:10 AMDec 31, 8:10 AM

17.3%chance

257609

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2186

457

Will someone win a Nobel prize in Economics for contributions to blockchain/cryptocurrencies by 2040?

Dec 12, 7:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.07%chance

414045

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1207

527

Chad Jones wins Nobel Prize in Economics before 2033?

Oct 21, 2:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.89%chance

31600

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2600

385

Will either a Nobel Prize in Economics or a Turing Award be awarded to Satoshi Nakamoto before 2050?

Oct 6, 6:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5.84%chance

101324

OptionVotes

YES

NO

547

152

Will Robin Hanson win the Nobel Prize for Economics before his death?

Apr 22, 5:30 PMApr 22, 5:28 PM

4.62%chance

131007

OptionVotes

YES

NO

454

22

Will anyone get Nobel prize for results related to ergodicity economics before 2030?

Aug 15, 7:54 PMMar 1, 4:59 PM

9.33%chance

11811

OptionVotes

YES

NO

513

49

Will Robin Hanson receive the Nobel Prize in Economics?

Jun 16, 12:26 PMJan 1, 11:00 AM

17.91%chance

13660

OptionVotes

YES

NO

214

47

Will Ben Golub [Northwestern U prof] ever win the nobel prize in economics

Jul 31, 10:24 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15%chance

7152

OptionVotes

YES

NO

238

42

Will Matthew Rognlie (https://sites.northwestern.edu/rognlie/) win the Nobel Prize in Economics in his lifetime?

Sep 14, 12:48 PMSep 21, 10:59 PM

50%chance

1100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

If a Nobel Prize for Economics is awarded to work on prediction markets before 2040, will the recipient be Robin Hanson?

Apr 25, 11:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

62.72%chance

886

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

77

will anyone from elasticity.institute win nobel prize in economics by EOY2040?

Jul 14, 2:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

213

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Who will win a 2027 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences?

Oct 15, 2:17 PMOct 11, 6:00 AM

00

OptionProbability

Ariel Pakes

Steven T. Berry

Susan Athey

Ernst Fehr

Richard Blundell

David Autor

Matthew Rabin

Partha Dasgupta

Hal Varian

Janet Currie

7

6

5

5

5

4

4

4

3

3

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