OptionProbability
Not by 2030
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2025
58
10
8
1
Announced before the end of October 2026
Can speak English
60 or older
Writes primarily in a language other than English
70 or older
went to a school in europe at any point in life
normally seen in glasses
Male
Award delayed
fled their home country
Originally from Africa
speaks Chinese
Singer/Songwriter
Originally from France
Originally from Spain
net worth over ten million USD at time of declaration
Award not accepted by winner
Given to more than one person
Award not given out
Posthumous
88
79
71
59
55
54
50
46
34
29
24
21
17
6
2
OptionVotes
YES
NO
710
14
271
37
1108
941
102
100
172
112
101
99