OptionProbability
Andrej Karpathy
George Hotz
Ilya Sutskever
Gwern Branwen
Robert Caro
Ajeya Cotra
Noam Brown
Elon Musk
Jared Kaplan
Michael Levin
Amanda Askell
Chris Olah
Joscha Bach
Janus @repligate
Tanner Greer
Greg Brockman (gdb)
Mira Murati
Michael Pettis
Matthew Klein
Connor Leahy
Dean Ball
Geoffrey Irving
Geoffrey Hinton
Zvi Mowshowitz
Nora Belrose
Helen Toner
Wang Huning
Bill Gates
Spencer Greenberg
Barack Obama
Donald Trump
Kamala Harris
100
98
95
73
71
70
51
50
41
39
36
35
32
28
26
23
10
3
OptionVotes
YES
NO
129
77
