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Prediction markets for Normal People
OptionVotes
1539
1185
Will AI be life-changing for muggles by the end of 2029?
Oct 10, 8:46 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
77.58%chance
11228585
OptionVotes
1862
538
Will AI have a trillion+ dollar impact by the end of 2030?
Oct 29, 12:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
96.04%chance
10423559
OptionVotes
10119
734
Cybertruck drives on moon or other solar planetary body
Mar 28, 3:32 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM
34.09%chance
375095
OptionVotes
1016
919
OptionVotes
1275
784
US legislature (House or Senate) fails to swear in / seat an elected member after midterms
Feb 7, 8:33 PMJan 4, 11:59 PM
24%chance
61663
OptionVotes
1780
562
OptionVotes
1030
923
Will Alcor go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?
Feb 18, 9:18 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
49.15%chance
33622
OptionVotes
1023
970
General health benefits from cold showers, accepted by 2040?
Apr 14, 11:33 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
50.27%chance
15274
OptionVotes
1004
994
100+ people regain mobility using a Neuralink device by mid 2027
Jun 19, 5:34 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
45.77%chance
6221
OptionVotes
1089
919
Will a study be done comparing blood/tissue microplastics lvls of frequent coffee drinkers vs "normal people" by EOY2027
Sep 14, 6:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
76.14%chance
280
OptionVotes
179
56
Facebook will ship a clearly traditional Avatar system on PC by mid 2026, no more forced ambiguous self-presentatation
Jan 10, 9:22 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
49.98%chance
380
OptionVotes
1000
1000