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Top stories

Sally Rooney to Donate TV Royalties to UK-Banned Palestine Action Amid BBC Pressure; Christy Moore Supports Ireland Bank Bond Campaign

Sally Rooney to Donate TV Royalties to UK-Banned Palestine Action Amid BBC Pressure; Christy Moore Supports Ireland Bank Bond Campaign

Authors

12

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Normal People

A major publication is doing a profile on me. Will it be a hit piece?

Oct 10, 4:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

21.21%chance

293121424

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16528

7039

Are any UFOs actually highly-advanced technology?

Nov 18, 5:19 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

22%chance

10248166

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1560

1107

Will AI be life-changing for muggles by the end of 2029?

Oct 10, 8:46 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

79%chance

11128446

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1940

516

Will AI have a trillion+ dollar impact by the end of 2025?

Apr 25, 2:15 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

8.11%chance

14027155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4960

827

Will AI have a trillion+ dollar impact by the end of 2030?

Oct 29, 12:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

96.04%chance

10423559

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10119

734

Cybertruck drives on moon or other solar planetary body

Mar 28, 3:32 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

34.09%chance

375095

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1016

919

Will a high-profile news story about my egg freezing journey lead to problems working with clinics in the future

Sep 11, 9:27 PMDec 31, 10:19 PM

33%chance

283390

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1425

702

Will Tesla deliver a low cost car before 2035?

May 27, 3:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

44%chance

202658

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1128

886

WIll the United States National Guard kill someone before the 2026 Midterm Elections?

Sep 8, 6:24 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

45.2%chance

23956

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1101

908

Will there be another global pandemic before 2030?

Sep 2, 7:59 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

35.89%chance

28761

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1030

923

Will a study be done comparing blood/tissue microplastics lvls of frequent coffee drinkers vs "normal people" by EOY2027

Sep 14, 6:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

76.14%chance

280

OptionVotes

NO

YES

179

56

Is being a troll or trolling other people, under normal circumstances, something to be proud of?

Jan 9, 5:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

210

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