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Top stories

Sally Rooney to Donate TV Royalties to UK-Banned Palestine Action Amid BBC Pressure; Christy Moore Supports Ireland Bank Bond Campaign

Sally Rooney to Donate TV Royalties to UK-Banned Palestine Action Amid BBC Pressure; Christy Moore Supports Ireland Bank Bond Campaign

Authors

12

6 months ago

Prediction markets for Normal People

Are any UFOs actually highly-advanced technology?

Nov 18, 5:19 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

22%chance

10248166

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1560

1107

Will AI be life-changing for muggles by the end of 2029?

Oct 10, 8:46 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

77.58%chance

11228585

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1862

538

Will AI have a trillion+ dollar impact by the end of 2030?

Oct 29, 12:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

96.04%chance

10423559

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10119

734

Cybertruck drives on moon or other solar planetary body

Mar 28, 3:32 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

34.09%chance

375095

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1016

919

Will Tesla deliver a low cost car before 2035?

May 27, 3:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

44%chance

202658

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1128

886

WIll the United States National Guard kill someone before the 2026 Midterm Elections?

Sep 8, 6:24 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

20.68%chance

282533

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1959

511

Will there be another global pandemic before 2030?

Sep 2, 7:59 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

35.89%chance

28761

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1030

923

Will Alcor go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

Feb 18, 9:18 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

49.9%chance

32607

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1008

984

General health benefits from cold showers, accepted by 2040?

Apr 14, 11:33 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50.27%chance

15274

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1004

994

100+ people regain mobility using a Neuralink device by mid 2027

Jun 19, 5:34 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

45.77%chance

5121

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1089

919

Will a study be done comparing blood/tissue microplastics lvls of frequent coffee drinkers vs "normal people" by EOY2027

Sep 14, 6:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

76.14%chance

280

OptionVotes

NO

YES

179

56

Facebook will ship a clearly traditional Avatar system on PC by mid 2026, no more forced ambiguous self-presentatation

Jan 10, 9:22 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

49.98%chance

380

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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