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Prediction markets for Northern

Will the UK (excluding Northern Ireland) experience major riots in 2025, similar to 2024? (V2)

Jun 11, 9:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.29%chance

123762

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1632

613

Will Northern Ireland leave the UK by 2100?

Oct 21, 11:09 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM

84.78%chance

201951

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2063

660

Will Northern Ireland leave the UK by 2030?

Oct 15, 7:11 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

10.39%chance

211220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1644

865

New arena for the Washington Wizards / Washington Capitals in Northern Virginia?

Dec 13, 2:40 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

25%chance

171198

OptionVotes

NO

YES

955

257

Will the Northern White Rhinoceros (Ceratotherium simum cottoni) become Extinct by 2100?

Feb 11, 1:07 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

90.74%chance

81041

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1513

88

Will Northern Cyprus be recognized by a country other than Turkey before October 2026?

Aug 21, 8:23 AMOct 1, 11:59 PM

24.87%chance

191004

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1163

929

Will a healthy Northern White Rhino be born by end of year 2025?

Jan 1, 12:58 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

21.95%chance

4943

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1885

530

Will Turkey and/or Northern Cyprus occupy the Republic of Cyprus before 2030?

Jan 2, 3:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.92%chance

8912

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1654

827

Will Great Britain and Northern Ireland abolish its monarchy before 2030?

Apr 8, 10:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.4%chance

31780

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1184

958

Will there be a border poll in Northern Ireland on Irish reunification by the end of 2028?

Oct 2, 8:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.93%chance

21610

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1165

895

Will Northern Ireland leave the UK by 2040?

May 28, 7:58 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

30%chance

13550

OptionVotes

NO

YES

987

944

Northern Ireland Self-determination Choices Before 2030

Feb 8, 10:21 AMJan 1, 4:59 PM

14530

OptionProbability

No referendum

Referendum, NI leaves, joins with ROI

Referendum, NI stays

Referendum, NI leaves, doesn't join with ROI

62

22

14

2

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