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Prediction markets for Northern Strike

If the US defends Taiwan from Chinese invasion, will there be Chinese strikes on American soil?

Dec 18, 2:52 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

11386

OptionProbability

Yes - Contiguous United States

Yes - Pacific Territories

Yes - Hawaii and Alaska

No

84

74

55

20

Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027

Sep 11, 4:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

63.06%chance

8279

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

103

Russian forces establish sustained presence in Sumy region by October 9, 2025?

Apr 13, 9:34 PMOct 9, 11:59 PM

66.93%chance

10254

OptionVotes

NO

YES

142

70

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