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Top stories

Lola Young Announces New Album 'I’m Only F**king Myself' for September 19 Release With Tour and New Single

Lola Young Announces New Album 'I’m Only F**king Myself' for September 19 Release With Tour and New Single

Authors

11

2 months ago

Prediction markets for Not Like That Anymore

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

42.09%chance

555181377

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2731

1983

CEO Tontine - which three of these twenty CEOs will survive longest?

Nov 19, 4:36 PMNov 27, 7:59 AM

4816382

OptionProbability

Mark Zuckerberg at Meta

Tim Cook at Apple

Jensen Huang at Nvidia

Dario Amodei at Anthropic

Elon Musk at Tesla

Ma Huateng at Tencent

Sundar Pichai at Google

Mary Barra at General Motors

Shantanu Narayen at Adobe

Andy Jassy at Amazon

Doug McMillon at Walmart

Andrew Wilson at Electronic Arts

David Solomon at Goldman Sachs

Masayoshi Son at SoftBank

C. C. Wei at TSMC

Bob Iger at Disney

Warren Buffett at Berkshire Hathaway

Pat Gelsinger at Intel

Herbert Diess at Volkswagen

Linda Yaccarino at Twitter

66

27

26

22

20

19

18

18

18

17

17

17

17

16

12

3

1

0

0

0

Will youtuber Mr.Beast get cancelled before the year end of 2025?

Dec 9, 8:45 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

5.16%chance

5815028

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4238

382

Will this Yudkowsky tweet on AI babysitters hold up by Feb 2028?

Feb 21, 6:53 PMFeb 22, 5:59 AM

46.63%chance

10412863

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1271

1003

When will Quantum computing become viable?

Dec 4, 6:14 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

23.05%chance

8012475

OptionProbability

YES

NO

2467

937

Will any advanced AI chip fabs or their key supply chains be heavily physically damaged deliberately by 2028?

Nov 3, 6:13 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

25.45%chance

281988

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1205

883

When will the Ukraine war end/ceasfire for at least one month

Sep 3, 5:57 AMFeb 1, 10:59 PM

111674

OptionProbability

Before 1.1.2027, after 1.1.2026

Before 1.1.2028, after 1.1.2027

Before 1.1.2029, after 1.1.2028

Before 1.1.2026, after 1.1.2025

After 1.1.2029

Before 1.1.2024

Before 1.1.2025, after 1.1.2024

30

19

17

16

15

1

1

Public figure comes out as a living performance art project before 2030

May 28, 1:35 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

47.58%chance

211069

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1276

435

Which lessons will I enjoy taking?

Nov 16, 9:33 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7861

OptionProbability

Jiu jitsu

Cadaver Dissection

Paragliding

Improv/Drama

Singing

Harmonica

Flower Arranging

Other

Bungee Fitness

Felting

25

14

13

12

9

8

7

5

4

2

Ozempic approval is revoked or withdrawn before 2031

May 27, 4:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.24%chance

14678

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1646

911

What will I major in for my bachelor's degree

Mar 9, 7:22 AMMar 16, 6:59 AM

10393

OptionProbability

Math

Computer Science

Economics

Engineering

Statistics

69

55

38

24

15

If a world governance forms a singleton, then will that singleton compromise Taiwan to become part of China?

Mar 10, 12:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.32%chance

218

OptionVotes

NO

YES

90

90

Latest stories

Latest stories

Jun 18, 2025
Jun 18, 2025
Music
Culture
Lola Young Announces New Album 'I’m Only F**king Myself' for September 19 Release With Tour and New Single
Authors
11
2 months ago

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