Notices of Concern News
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Prediction markets for Notices of Concern
If H.R 9495 is passed, which nonprofits will be targeted by it before 2029?
Nov 23, 4:43 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM
153191
OptionProbability
85
52
50
50
50
50
50
50
47
45
43
41
37
34
34
31
31
31
28
26
26
16
15
OptionVotes
106
97
Will any company be GDPR fined for inputting personally identifiable information into ChatGPT before 2030?
Feb 9, 2:04 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM
60.48%chance
9235
OptionVotes
131
122
Will it replicate? Genetic and Functional Drivers of Diffuse Large B Cell Lymphoma (Cell, 2017, by March 2026)
Nov 27, 11:26 AMMar 1, 11:00 AM
6209
OptionProbability
52
50
41
39
18
Will a plan to connect Leeds to London via high-speed rail be approved before 2035?
May 1, 7:50 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM
70.51%chance
4151
OptionVotes
131
65
Will S-risk prevention get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Oct 31, 3:56 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
60.23%chance
6111
OptionVotes
222
153
Will mitigation of AI propaganda & "botpocalypse" concerns get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Nov 1, 9:04 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
59.64%chance
643
OptionVotes
223
191
Which five teams will finish the 2025 season ranked 6-10 in the NFL draft?
May 13, 3:06 AMFeb 14, 12:00 AM
130
OptionProbability
66
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
34
34
Will a plan to connect Liverpool to London via high-speed rail be approved before 2035?
May 1, 7:43 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM
38.65%chance
213
OptionVotes
83
60