OptionVotes
NO
YES
1021
963
1064
940
OptionProbability
Explicit nuclear reference (U.S. or Iran)
Iran NPT withdrawal notice (Article X)
Explicit nuclear-use threat (U.S. or Iran)
Iran ≥90% enrichment (stated/confirmed)
Nuclear weapon used in direct U.S. – Iran conflict
Iran nuclear explosive test
92
37
30
24
3
2