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Prediction markets for NUKE
OptionVotes
3814
1811
OptionVotes
6641
151
OptionVotes
4315
232
OptionVotes
1027
705
OptionVotes
7084
141
OptionVotes
1458
941
OptionVotes
2127
915
OptionVotes
2048
910
END TIMES! new amendment, emergency pres. succession, nuke, big disaster, attack, or financial collapse by mid 2027
Jan 2, 5:31 PMJun 30, 9:59 PM
27.31%chance
91326
OptionVotes
1631
613
USA adds an amendment, emergency pres. succession, nuke, big disaster, attack, or financial collapse in 2025
Sep 11, 4:06 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
10%chance
14893
OptionVotes
317
52
OptionProbability
27
12
11
11
10
8
7
6
5
4
Will "Carl Sagan, nuking the moon, and not nuking t..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Jul 5, 8:57 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14.08%chance
11
OptionVotes
1001
994